Why We Misjudged the Power of Prompting People to Drive Positive Change

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Environmental and social challenges are urgent, yet many nations grapple with underfunding and political stalemates. Imagine if we could innovate ways to tackle these issues effectively and economically without the burden of partisan politics!

Nearly two decades ago, we and our colleagues in behavioral sciences considered this a real possibility. We proposed a sophisticated idea: social issues often stem from individuals making “poor” choices, whether it’s unhealthy eating, smoking, or polluting the environment. Traditional approaches rely on taxes or bans, but our fresh perspective aimed to encapsulate a gentler, psychologically aware method. By rethinking how choices are presented, we could encourage healthier and more sustainable options, while still allowing access to alternatives.

“Nudges” were viewed as potential solutions, suggesting that societal issues could be mitigated through slight shifts in individual behavior. For instance, to combat obesity, we might reduce portion sizes and reposition salad bars at the forefront of cafeterias. To address climate concerns, why not default homeowners to renewable energy options?

Initially, it appeared we were on the verge of a nudge revolution. A team of researchers, including ourselves, sought to identify subtle modifications in “choice architecture” that could spur behavioral changes and ultimately result in major societal impacts. This presents a golden opportunity to leverage psychological insights for transformative progress.

Fast forward almost 20 years and progress remains stagnated, leaving many disappointed. When nudges do yield results, the effects are minimal, short-lived, and often fail to scale. Furthermore, emphasizing individual behavior as the primary lens for societal problems may inadvertently empower various corporate entities to resist the more traditional yet effective policy measures like taxation and regulation that reshuffle the foundational rules and incentives driving societal actions, jeopardizing their interests.

In hindsight, we realize this outcome shouldn’t come as a surprise, though it certainly was at the time. Given that human psychology has remained fundamentally unchanged, the social dilemmas we face arise from systemic shifts—not individual choices. Events like 200 years of fossil fuel reliance or the surge of ultra-processed foods over recent decades are to blame, and individuals alone cannot resolve issues like carbon emissions or unhealthy eating patterns. Moreover, a focus on individual behaviors risks distracting policymakers and the public from recognizing the need for systemic reforms and policy-driven solutions.

Correctly identifying the problem might lead to companies resistant to regulations fortifying individual-level responses that seem effective but fall short. This phenomenon is already observable, as evidenced by attention-grabbing concepts like our personal “carbon footprint.” This branding didn’t emerge from environmental movements or NGOs but originated from a massive PR campaign by BP, one of the globe’s leading fossil fuel corporations, in the early 2000s.

No matter the social or environmental challenge at hand, those opposing comprehensive change often redirect the responsibility back to individuals. As behavioral scientists, we must avoid this trap moving forward.

Behavioral scientist Nick Chater and George Loewenstein explore these themes in their new book, On You (WH Allen), released on January 27th.

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Farmers Sue Over Deleted Climate Data, Prompting Government Reinstatement

According to court documents submitted on Monday in a deletion lawsuit, the Agriculture Department plans to reinstate climate change information that was removed from its website when President Trump took office.

The omitted information encompassed pages detailing federal funding and loans, forest conservation, and rural clean energy initiatives. This also included sections from the U.S. Forest Service and the Natural Resources Conservation Services, featuring climate risk viewers, including comprehensive maps that illustrate how climate change impacts national forests and grasslands.

The February lawsuit indicated that farmers’ access to pivotal information was hindered, affecting their ability to make timely decisions amid business risks tied to climate change, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, and wildfires.

The lawsuit was filed by the Organic Farming Association in Northeast New York alongside two environmental organizations, the Natural Resources Defense Council and the Environmental Working Group.

The plaintiffs sought a court mandate requiring the department to restore the deleted pages. On Monday, the government affirmed that this restoration would be compulsory.

Jay Clayton, a U.S. attorney for the Southern District of New York, informed Judge Margaret M. Garnett that he represents the agricultural division in this suit and has commenced the process of restoring the pages and interactive tools highlighted in the complaint. He indicated that the department “anticipates completing the restoration process significantly in about two weeks.”

Clayton requested a postponement of the hearing set for May 21, suggesting a report on the restoration progress be submitted in three weeks, and mentioned he is working on determining “the appropriate next steps in this lawsuit.”

“The USDA is pleased to recognize that the unlawful removal of climate change-related information is detrimental to farmers and communities nationwide,” stated Jeffrey Stein, assistant attorney for Earthjustice, an environmental law nonprofit that represents the plaintiffs, alongside the Knight First Amendment Institute at Columbia University.

Source: www.nytimes.com

China: OpenAI Blocks Access, Prompting Panic Among Chinese Developers

At the World AI Conference held in Shanghai last week, SenseTime, one of China’s leading artificial intelligence companies, revealed its newest model, the SenseNova 5.5. The model showcased its ability to recognize and describe a stuffed puppy (sporting a SenseTime cap), offer input on a drawing of a rabbit, and swiftly scan and summarize a page of text. SenseTime boasts that SenseNova 5.5 competes with GPT-4o, the flagship artificial intelligence model from Microsoft-backed US company OpenAI.

To entice users, SenseTime is offering 50 million tokens, digital credits for AI usage, at no cost. Additionally, the company states that it will have staff available to assist new customers in transitioning from OpenAI’s services to SenseTime’s products for free. This move aims to attract Chinese developers previously aligned with OpenAI, as the company had notified Chinese users of an impending blockage of its tools and services from July 9.

The sudden decision by OpenAI to block API traffic from regions without OpenAI service access has created an opportunity for domestic Chinese AI companies like SenseTime to onboard rejected users. Amid escalating tensions between the US and China over export restrictions on advanced semiconductors essential for training cutting-edge AI technologies, Chinese AI companies are now in a fierce competition to absorb former OpenAI users. Baidu, Zhipu AI, and Tencent Cloud, among others, have also offered free tokens and migration services to entice users.

The withdrawal of OpenAI from China has accelerated the development of Chinese AI companies, who are determined to catch up to their US counterparts. While Chinese AI companies focus on commercializing large-scale language models, the departure of OpenAI presents an opportunity for these companies to innovate and enhance their models.

Despite setbacks, Chinese commentators have downplayed the impact of OpenAI’s decision, depicting it as pressure from the US to impede China’s technological progress. There are indications that US restrictions on China’s AI industry are taking effect, with companies like Kuaishou facing limitations due to a chip shortage induced by sanctions. This adversity has fueled a growing market for American-made semiconductors while inspiring creativity to counter American software blockages.

Source: www.theguardian.com

US Congress passes bill targeting TikTok, prompting ban speculation | Tick-tock

The House of Representatives passed a bill requiring TikTok owner ByteDance to sell the platform or risk a complete ban in the US. The Senate quickly followed suit, and the bill was signed by Joe Biden the next day.

This move poses a significant threat to TikTok in the US, especially since a previous ban in Montana was ruled unconstitutional and never enforced.

Here’s what you need to know about the bill, the possibility of a TikTok ban, and its implications for the platform’s 170 million US users.

Is the US really trying to ban TikTok and why?

The bill passed by the House is part of an ongoing political battle over TikTok, a platform that has seen massive growth since its launch in 2017. Lawmakers are concerned about data privacy and censorship issues related to TikTok’s Chinese parent company.

Despite TikTok’s assurances about data storage and access, lawmakers remain skeptical, leading to the recent legislation.

Various attempts to regulate TikTok in the US have been made, culminating in the recent bill passing in the House.

Does this bill really ban TikTok?

Under the bill, ByteDance must divest from TikTok within 165 days to avoid a ban. App stores could face penalties for hosting TikTok if the divestiture does not occur.

Supporters argue the bill offers ByteDance an opportunity to avoid a ban by selling TikTok to non-Chinese companies.

TikTok disputes this, claiming uncertainty about the sale’s approval and completion within the specified timeframe.

How did we get here?

Past bans and restrictions on TikTok, including efforts by former President Trump, have laid the groundwork for the current situation. Montana and other states have previously attempted bans, but legal challenges have prevented enforcement.

Recent demands from the Treasury Department raised concerns, leading to the development of the current bill.

How will the TikTok ban be enforced?

Enforcing a ban on TikTok faces technical and legal challenges due to the decentralized nature of the internet. Methods like blocking IP addresses could be circumvented using VPNs.

To fully restrict TikTok, the US would need to adopt stringent internet restrictions used by countries like China.

Who supports a possible TikTok ban?

Most Republicans and the Biden administration back the bill, with President Trump’s stance evolving over time. Efforts to ban TikTok have garnered bipartisan support.

Despite some opposition, the bill’s supporters believe it is crucial for national security and data privacy concerns.

Who opposes the TikTok bill?

TikTok vehemently opposes the bill and urges the Senate to reject it. Some lawmakers and civil rights groups argue the bill threatens free speech rights and could set a dangerous precedent.

Opponents of the bill emphasize the need for comprehensive social media regulation rather than targeting specific platforms like TikTok.

What will happen to TikTok in the future?

The bill still faces hurdles in the Senate, and its enforcement could be complex. TikTok’s lobbying efforts and legal challenges could impact the bill’s implementation.

Even if passed, legal challenges may arise, similar to previous bans that were blocked on constitutional grounds.

Source: www.theguardian.com