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Investment inflows into BTC spot ETFs continue as BTC volatility shrinks – Blockchain updates, analysis, TV, and job opportunities

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Mateo Greco, Research Analyst, Listed Digital Assets and FinTech Investment Business Finekia International (CSE:FNQ)

Bitcoin (BTC) ended the week at around $41,600, down just 0.4% from the previous week's closing price of around $41,750. Prices have become less volatile and more stable following the SEC's approval of the ETF compared to the previous week, putting an end to speculation on the issue.

The introduction of the new BTC Spot ETF has attracted funds from traditional finance to the digital asset market. The 11 spot ETFs have collectively attracted approximately $1.15 billion in cumulative inflows since inception. Leading the pack is the BlackRock Spot ETF with about $1.4 billion in assets under management (AUM), followed closely by the Fidelity Spot ETF with about $1.26 billion in assets under management.

This inflow was partially offset by the fact that one of the 11 spot ETFs launched was Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). GBTC is not a new product; it has been traded in trust since 2015, but was converted to an ETF. The product has experienced significant outflows of approximately $2.81 billion since the conversion, with total inflows for the 11BTC Spot ETF decreasing from approximately $3.96 billion to $1.15 billion.

At the time of the conversion, GBTC held approximately 620,000 BTC, which has now decreased to approximately 552,000 BTC. The large outflow can be attributed to two main factors. First, prior to the conversion, due to the structure of the product, GBTC customers were restricted from redeeming their shares and could only sell them on the secondary market. This forced many customers to hold positions for years without an exit option unless they were willing to sell at a deep discount on the secondary market. Second, the high management fee charged by Grayscale (1.5%) compared to most of its competitors (0.2%/0.3%) has led some investors to choose between cashing out their profits or offering a more cost-effective option. I withdrew my investment from Grayscale to reinvest in a high-performing ETF.

BTC spot ETFs recorded strong activity with high trading volumes. Since their launch, the cumulative trading volume of the 11 spot ETFs has reached approximately $16.6 billion in six trading days, or an average daily trading volume of approximately $2.77 billion. As expected, GBTC recorded the highest trading volume given the large amount of BTC being stored and the dynamic activity related to the conversion of trusts into ETFs.

With the successful launch of the BTC Spot ETF, market participants and analysts are now focusing on the potential for the ETF to include a variety of digital assets. Analysts predict an Ethereum (ETH) spot ETF has a greater than 70% chance of approval this year. This expectation is reinforced by analyzing the price trend of ETH. Immediately after the approval of the BTC Spot ETF, funds were transferred from BTC to ETH. ETH rose 17% versus BTC and 11% in dollar terms during the week of approval. This indicates that market participants are anticipating the approval of the ETH Spot ETF following the green light for the BTC Spot ETF and are adjusting their positions accordingly.

Source: the-blockchain.com

SEC Approval of Spot Bitcoin ETF Leads to Increased Volatility in the Market – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV, Jobs

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Bitcoin (BTC) closed last week at around $41,750, down 5.0% from the first week of the new year, to close at around $43,750. The price showed significant fluctuations, mainly influenced by the increased market dynamics due to the approval of the BTC Spot ETF. The week began with a strong uptrend in anticipation of approval on Monday, with prices rising 9.0% to nearly $47,000. BTC approached $48,000 on Tuesday, but the false news about confirmation encountered significant volatility, causing a drop below $45,000 before stabilizing near $46,000 overnight.

On Wednesday, the SEC granted approval for the BTC Spot ETF, leading to heightened volatility, especially on Thursday when ETF trading began. After soaring to around $49,000, BTC began a significant downtrend, especially on Friday, when the price fell by 7.7% to below $43,000. Prices gradually declined over the weekend, ultimately ending the week at around $41,750.

The launch of the BTC Spot ETF has increased market activity. An analysis of daily trading volume on centralized exchanges for the seven-day period from January 8th to 14th showed that daily trading volume reached nearly $50 billion, the highest since November 2022. The launch of ETFs has increased activity in the entire market, and not just in BTC.

From January 8th to 14th, BTC's daily trading volume was recorded at $17.8 billion, an increase of 26% from the $14.1 billion recorded the previous week. Ethereum (ETH) recorded a total daily trading volume of $7.7 billion during the same period, an 83% increase from the $4.2 billion recorded the previous week, indicating increased activity across the market.

The recent strength of the market compared to BTC is further substantiated by analyzing BTC's dominance in terms of market capitalization relative to the overall digital asset market. At the end of the week, BTC's share was 51.1%, down 5.4% from 54.0% the previous week.

BTC price trends, coupled with volume data and the performance of specific altcoins, indicate that it adheres to the typical “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern associated with major market events. Market participants predicted the ETF's approval 90% of the time and adjusted their portfolios accordingly prior to SEC approval.

During Q4 2023, BTC showed significant strength, with the price increasing by 57% to around $42,300 from $27,000 at the end of Q3. As BTC reached almost $49,000 after approval, investors took profits on positions initiated at lower BTC price levels and transferred their capital to altcoins, as evidenced by its decline in dominance over the past week. began to be redistributed.

This pattern is common and does not indicate a failed ETF launch. In the first two days of trading, the 11BTC Spot ETF closed with approximately $1.4 billion in cumulative inflows, partially offset by $600 million in outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF (GBTC). Net inflows were approximately $800 million.

The GBTC outflow was facilitated by the fact that it was not a new product launch, but rather a conversion from an existing Bitcoin trust holding over 600,000 BTC. Grayscale has higher management fees (1.5%) compared to most of its competitors (0.2%/0.3%), leading some investors to withdraw from Grayscale and opt for more favorable management fees. May reinvest in other BTC ETFs with fees.

Source: the-blockchain.com