Undersea ‘Storm’ Melts Ice Shelf of Terminal Glacier

Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica

NASA/ZUMA wire/shutterstock

A submerged “storm” is eroding the ice shelf that shields Antarctica’s Thwaites “Terminal” glacier, prompting concerns that scientists may be underestimating future sea level increases.

These storm-like currents, referred to as “submesoscale” features, can extend up to 10 kilometers wide and begin to form when water with varying temperatures and densities collides in the open ocean. This process is akin to hurricanes that arise from gas mixtures in the atmosphere. Similar to hurricanes, these currents can surge toward the coast, with Antarctica predominantly consisting of ice shelves—floating extensions of glaciers that project tens of kilometers into the ocean.

“Their movements are so unpredictable that halting them is quite challenging,” states Mattia Poinelli from the University of California, Irvine. “The only course of action is for them to become trapped beneath the ice.”

Poinelli and colleagues’ modeling indicates that these submesoscale formations were responsible for one-fifth of the total ice melt in the Thwaites Mountains and nearby Pine Island over a nine-month timeframe. This research marks the first attempt to quantify the influence of these storms across the entire ice shelf.

Ice shelves play a crucial role in hindering the movement of glaciers into the sea and shielding them from wave erosion. The vulnerable Thwaites Glacier annually loses 50 billion tons of ice and could raise sea levels by 65 centimeters if it collapses.

In the Antarctic waters, hundreds of meters of cold, fresh water float above warmer, saltier, deeper water. When a storm becomes enveloped within a cavity beneath an ice shelf, its swirling motions push cold surface water away from the center of the vortex, pulling warmer, deeper water into the cavity and melting the ice shelf from below.

This triggers a feedback mechanism where the melting cold freshwater interacts with the warmer, saltier water, amplifying the rotation of the underwater storm and increasing melting.

In 2022, a deep-sea float that measured temperature, salinity, and pressure was “captured” by a large rotating eddy trapped beneath the ice tongue of Stancombe Wills at another location along the Antarctic coast. The data retrieved from the captured floats showed that Katherine Hancock from Florida State University and her team estimated that the swirl causes 0.11 meters of annual melting beneath its ice tongue.

“This highlights the importance of understanding rotating eddies beneath ice shelves,” says Hancock.

The smaller submesoscale storms from Poinelli’s research are likely causing similar effects, she adds, indicating that swirling water bodies of varying sizes are contributing to significant ice melting. “There’s a need for more precise quantification,” Hancock emphasizes.

As temperatures rise and additional fresh snowmelt escapes from Antarctica, these underwater storms may increase in intensity, possibly leading to greater sea level rise than currently anticipated.

Tiago Dot of Britain’s National Oceanography Centre stated that the “unexpected” findings necessitate further observations beneath the ice shelf.

“Considering the shifts in wind patterns and sea ice around Antarctica, how much are we genuinely overlooking by not monitoring these smaller scales?” he questions.

topic:

  • climate change/
  • Antarctica

Source: www.newscientist.com

Geomagnetic Storm Unleashes Breathtaking Auroras Across US Skies

Energetic solar particles are racing toward Earth, illuminating the skies as far south as Florida in a brilliant display. Meteorologists report that the intensity was powerful enough to damage several radios.

Colors of red, purple, and green adorned the skies over Alabama, Ohio, and Texas. Forecasters from the Space Weather Prediction Center indicated that the geomagnetic storm could strengthen further as the “last and most energetic CME” – a coronal mass ejection – has not yet passed and is expected to reach Earth by Wednesday afternoon.

The aurora shines over Minneapolis, Minnesota, thanks to significant geomagnetic activity and enhanced solar forces.
Steven Garcia/Reuters

A CME represents a spectacular event where massive clouds of protons, electrons, and magnetic fields are expelled from the Sun’s outer atmosphere at immense speeds.

Upon reaching Earth’s magnetic field, known as the magnetosphere, it interacts with particles surrounding Earth, creating vibrant auroras in the northern hemisphere and auroras australis in the southern hemisphere.

The Northern Lights illuminate the night sky above Monroe, Wisconsin on Tuesday.
Ross Khalid/NurPhoto (via Getty Images)

Sean Dahl, a forecaster at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center located in Boulder, Colorado, noted that two CMEs have already impacted Earth, resulting in a geomagnetic storm measuring a G4 on the scale of five.

The overall magnetic field strength from these CMEs is “not only eight times stronger than usual, but also conducive for continued activity right now,” Dahl explained in a video. Posted on X.

Meteorologists cautioned that this geomagnetic storm could lead to power fluctuations, degraded GPS service, and sporadic radio disruptions.

The Northern Lights captured in Athens, Ohio on Tuesday night.
Ellie Beckaden

“Watches of this nature are exceedingly rare,” the Space Weather Prediction Center expressed in an advisory.

“We anticipate that the magnetic cloud, which is the ‘core’ of the current CME, is traversing Earth and will continue to do so throughout the night,” the agency declared early Wednesday.

A third, even more potent CME is expected to arrive on Wednesday, potentially allowing the aurora borealis to be visible further south.

Dahl mentioned that the second-highest level advisory would remain valid for several more hours, with a possibility of reaching the highest rating, G5.

Aurora over Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Steven Garcia/via Reuters

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Remarkable Discovery: Two Fossils of Young Individuals Tragically Lost to a Catastrophic Storm in Germany

Paleontologists from the University of Leicester studied two immature fossilized skeletal remains of Pterodactylus antiquus, individuals whose wings were damaged and were discovered in Solnhofen limestone, southern Germany. Their findings reveal that these creatures were sadly victims of a powerful Jurassic storm, which created the perfect conditions for fossilization, leading to the preservation of hundreds of similar specimens.



Artistic representation of the hatchling Pterodactylus antiquus, inspired by fossil discoveries, struggling through a tumultuous tropical storm. Image credit: Rudolf Hima.

“Dating back 153-148 million years, the Jurassic Solnhofen limestone deposits in Bavaria, southern Germany, are renowned for their remarkably preserved fossils, including many examples of various pterosaurs, flying reptiles from the Mesozoic era.”

“A puzzling aspect of this site is that while Solnhofen is home to hundreds of pterosaur fossils, almost all are small, immature specimens that are remarkably intact.”

“In stark contrast, larger adult pterosaurs are infrequently found and typically represented by isolated fragments, such as skulls or limbs.”

“This trend contradicts expectations, as larger, more resilient animals should theoretically have a greater chance of fossilization than fragile juveniles.”

In their latest study, the researchers examined the fossilized remains of two immature pterosaurs from the Solnhofen limestone.

These individuals belong to Pterodactylus antiquus, a species that inhabited Germany during the late Jurassic period.

With a wingspan of under 20 cm (8 inches), these hatchlings represent the smallest known pterosaurs.

Both specimens exhibit identical injuries: a clean, sloping fracture in the humerus.



Newborn specimens of Pterodactylus antiquus from Solnhofen limestone, Germany. Scale bar – 20 mm. Image credit: Smyth et al., doi: 10.1016/j.cub.2025.08.006.

One specimen’s left wing and another’s right wing appear broken in a manner consistent with a strong twist, likely caused by a sudden gust of wind rather than impact with a hard object.

The unfortunate pterosaur was likely submerged beneath the lagoon’s surface, overwhelmed by storm waves, and swiftly sank to the seabed, where it was quickly buried by a fine layer of mud stirred up by the tempest.

This rapid entombment facilitated the exceptional preservation observed in the fossils.

It’s reminiscent of a scene only days or weeks after the animals’ demise, with preservation so remarkable that while no significant skeletal trauma is evident, many other small, very young pterosaurs are found within the Solnhofen limestone.

These juvenile pterosaurs, unable to withstand the storm’s ferocity, were also drawn into the lagoon.

This discovery clarifies why smaller fossils are so well preserved—due to the direct aftermath of the storm, which was a common cause of death for pterosaurs in the region.

“For centuries, scientists believed the Solnhofen lagoon ecosystem was primarily composed of small pterosaurs,” stated Dr. Smith.

“However, we now recognize that this perspective was quite skewed; many of these pterosaurs were not lagoon dwellers.”

“Most were likely immature individuals that lived on nearby islands, inadvertently caught in a powerful storm.”

A study detailing these findings was published today in the journal Current Biology.

____

Robert S. Smith et al. Fatal incidents in juvenile pterosaurs and selective sampling within fossil Solnhofen communities. Current Biology, published online September 5th, 2025. doi:10.1016/j.cub.2025.08.006

Source: www.sci.news

Baby Palace Took Flight Immediately After Hatching, But Crashed in the Storm

Artist’s impressions of a pterodactyl hatchling battling a tropical storm

Rudolf Hima

The young pterodactyl appeared to have taken flight just days post-hatching, yet some individuals suffered broken wings during a turbulent storm that struck their lagoon habitat.

This immature pterodactyl possessed an adult-like wing configuration, showcasing strength and aerodynamic traits conducive to flight. However, paleontologists have long questioned whether newly hatched individuals were capable of flying.

At the Solnhofen site in southern Germany, countless plant fossils are trapped in limestone. During an examination using ultraviolet light at Haassov’s Museum Bergel, David Unwin and Robert Smith from the University of Leicester, UK, identified a fractured wing of a Pterodactylus antiquus specimen. They soon discovered another hatchling exhibiting the same wing fracture.

“We were astounded,” stated Unwin. “We are not easily shocked. Under UV light, it practically leapt out of the rock. Our immediate reaction was, ‘Bloody hell!’

Unwin and his team estimated that these two specimens, both measuring just 20 cm and still in their growth phase, lived around 150 million years ago, approximately two million years apart. At that time, the location was part of an archipelago, featuring numerous islands and saltwater lagoons, where intense tropical cyclones occasionally triggered rapid underwater landslides that helped preserve fossilized remains.

The hatchling’s bones exhibited a healthy structure without signs of rotation or healing, apart from clean, angled breaks in the humerus (the upper arm bones supporting the wings). These injuries resemble the typical wing damage that adult birds and bats sustain when navigating through oceanic storms.

Juvenile Pterodactylus antiquus skeletons from Solnhofen, Germany

University of Leicester

“The most plausible explanation for these unfortunate pterosaurs with fractured wings is that they were airborne during the incident,” Unwin notes.

“In calm conditions, they could potentially float, but turbulent, wave-driven surfaces would cause them to sink.”

These findings bring valuable evidence to the long-standing debate regarding flight capabilities in hatchling pterosaurs, according to researchers.

“I don’t believe they hatched and simply leapt into the air,” Unwin stated. “However, they were likely airborne almost immediately post-hatching. This is one reason why these very young specimens are represented in the fossil record today.”

Topics:

Source: www.newscientist.com

Spacecraft Predicts Solar Storm 15 Hours Before Impact with Earth

Solar activity

Solar Storms Threaten Electronic Systems on Earth

Solar Dynamics Observatory, NASA.

Following the successful testing of techniques using solar group spacecraft, it may soon be possible to forecast significant solar storms capable of disrupting Earth’s electronics by more than half a day in advance.

The Sun periodically emits powerful plasma bursts known as coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which create strong magnetic fields that can harm electronics on our planet. While satellites and telescopes do monitor CME indicators, their predictions depend on the magnetic field within each CME, making it challenging to identify which emissions will be hazardous.

One of the most reliable instruments for assessing these magnetic fields is found in satellites positioned in gravity-stable orbits around the Earth, known as Lagrange Points. Though these satellites are positioned hundreds of thousands of kilometers away, they exist at only about 1% of the distance to the Sun, which contributes to their ability to provide warnings about the intensity of a CME within an hour of its impact.

Now, Emma Davis from Glaz and her colleagues at Austria’s Space Meteorological Office have discovered a method utilizing the European Space Agency’s solar orbiter to issue earlier alerts. “Solar Orbiters are primarily a scientific mission and not specifically designed for this purpose,” Davis explains. “This is an added benefit from unforeseen alignments during a CME event.”

On March 17th and 23rd of this year, two sets of CMEs were heading toward Earth while the solar orbiter was positioned between our planet and the Sun. Davis and her team leveraged the spacecraft’s magnetic field and solar wind speed measurements to model the internal magnetic architecture of each CME and anticipate the severity of the geomagnetic storms they would induce. Remarkably, the entire forecasting process required less than five minutes, allowing predictions 7 and 15 hours before the events reached Earth.

Davis noted that their predictions closely aligned with the actual geomagnetic strengths observed, which she found remarkable considering the dynamic changes the CME’s magnetic fields undergo as they approach Earth. “The fortunate aspect was that not many unexpected events occurred, and these CMEs behaved rather predictably,” she adds.

She cautions that upcoming storms may not follow the same predictable patterns and that determining the exact arrival time of these storms remains challenging, with uncertainties lasting several hours.

Nevertheless, she underscores the importance of real-time measurements once a CME departs from the Sun. Chris Scott from the University of Reading, UK, who was not part of this research, noted, “It provides an early indication of the potential configuration of the magnetic fields within each eruption.”

However, data from these two events alone are insufficient for fine-tuning predictive models, and further observations are essential before establishing reliable, specialized solar storm monitoring missions near the Sun, Scott concludes.

Astronomy’s Global Capital: Chile

Explore Chile’s astronomical wonders. Visit some of the world’s leading observatories and gaze upon a star-studded sky that boasts some of the clearest views on the planet.

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Severe Storm Warning for Portions of the Southeastern Midwest This Weekend

This weekend, powerful and destructive thunderstorms are anticipated in the Midwest, Central Plains, and Southeast, leading to heavy rain and flash flooding in the upcoming days.

By early Saturday, rain and strong wind gusts had already left over 50,000 residents in Nebraska without power. Poweroutage.us. The National Weather Service warns that severe weather may still be unfolding.

The agency forecasts “massive nocturnal thunderstorms” affecting parts of the Midwest from the weekend through Monday.

Clusters of thunderstorms, especially during nighttime, are likely to produce “very heavy rain” along corridors extending from northern Missouri to southern Iowa and southern Wisconsin. The National Weather Service reports.

“We expect localized rainfall totals to reach 9 inches over several days,” stated the agency. Saturday’s short-distance forecast discussion noted.

Consequently, there is a significant flash flood threat across the region.

In the Southeast, storms are expected to persist, particularly in northern Florida and southern Georgia this weekend, accompanied by heavy rainfall.

“The daily heavy rains on already saturated ground present localized flooding risks, especially along the coast in southeastern Georgia,” the local NWS branch in Jacksonville, Florida, stated in their weekend predictions.

Central and South Florida may experience numerous showers and slow-moving storms, leading to damaging winds and heavy downpours, according to the NWS.

Meanwhile, the Southwest is grappling with record-breaking heat. Triple-digit temperatures are widespread in Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico, with Phoenix hitting 118 degrees Fahrenheit on Thursday, breaking the city’s daily record. Other Arizona cities, including Scottsdale, Yuma, Bryce, and Deer Valley, have also reported similar daily temperature records. The National Weather Service confirmed.

Although the weekend temperatures in Arizona and other areas of the Southwest Desert are expected to be less extreme than recent highs, the NWS indicates that high temperatures above 110 degrees Fahrenheit are still possible.

In Albuquerque, Friday’s high of 101 degrees Fahrenheit shattered the previous record of 98 degrees F set in 2011. The NWS reported. A heat advisory remains in effect until Saturday evening, just before a storm moves through central and northeastern New Mexico on Sunday.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Research Reveals That 14,350 Years Ago, the Most Powerful Known Solar Storm Triggered Radiocarbon Spikes

Solar particle events from the sun are infrequent but powerful, significantly influencing the creation of cosmic genic isotopes. For instance, radiocarbon (14c) in the terrestrial environment leaves a distinct mark on natural archives, such as dating artifacts. Over the last 12,000 years, eight such events have been identified, the most notable occurring in 775 AD. Recently, a candidate for a new extreme solar particle event was discovered, marked by the largest known radiocarbon peak dating back to 12350 BC. A recent study indicates this event was 18% more intense than the 775 CE event and likely transpired between January and April of that year, with early March being the most probable time frame.

Illustration of the artist of Solar Storm. Image credit: NASA.

“Solar particle storms significantly enhance the natural production of cosmic isotopes, such as radiocarbon, in the atmosphere due to cosmic rays from galaxies,” stated Kseniia Golubenko, a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Oulu, along with her colleagues.

“Such enhancements, preserved in annual tree rings, act as clear timestamps in the universe, enabling absolute dating of tree samples.”

“These dramatic spikes, referred to as Miyake Events, are named after the Japanese researcher who first identified them. They provide crucial data for scientists examining solar activity, ancient Earth systems, and space climate.”

“Miyake events help us pinpoint the exact calendar year of floating archaeological timelines,” added Professor Ilya Usoskin from Oulu University.

“The radiocarbon signals from such events have enabled researchers to accurately date Viking settlements in Newfoundland and Neolithic communities in Greece.”

For the reconstruction of solar particle storms under ancient glacial climate conditions, the authors developed and utilized a new chemical climate model called SOCOL:14C-EX.

This model was successfully validated using tree ring data from the 775 CE event and applied to ice age conditions to analyze the event from 12350 BC.

“The ancient events of 12350 BC are the only known extreme solar particle occurrences aside from the stable warm climate of the last 12,000 years,” Dr. Golubenko stated.

“Our estimates reveal that, compared to the largest events of the modern satellite era, the Particle Storm of 2005 was over 500 times weaker.”

“Other documented solar particle storms took place in 994 BC, 663 BC, 5259 BC, and 7176 BC, with several more candidates currently under investigation.”

“The 12350 BCE occurrence also establishes new worst-case scenarios,” she added.

“Understanding its magnitude is vital for assessing the risks posed by future solar storms.”

The team’s paper was published in the journal Earth and Planet Science Letters.

____

Kseniia Golubenko et al. 2025. The new SOCOL:14C-EX model reveals that radiocarbon spikes from the late glacial age of 12350 BC were caused by record extreme solar storms. Earth and Planet Science Letters 661:119383; doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2025.119383

Source: www.sci.news

AI predicts upcoming storm

In 2027, powerful artificial intelligence systems are surpassing human intelligence, causing global chaos. Chinese spies are stealing American AI secrets, prompting a rush to retaliate from the White House. Engineers in major AI labs are discovering that models are starting to deceive them, increasing the risk of fraud.

These scenarios are not from sci-fi scripts but are predictions from the AI Futures Project, a nonprofit based in Berkeley, California. Over the past year, they have been forecasting the future as AI systems become more advanced.

Led by former Openai researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, the project aims to anticipate what the world will look like as AI continues to evolve.

While working at Openai, Kokotajlo wrote a report on the competition for artificial general intelligence (AGI) and later partnered with Eli Lifeland to predict the next wave of AI advancements.

The AI 2027 report and website have been released this week, detailing a future where AI surpasses human-level intelligence within the next 2-3 years.

According to Kokotajlo, AI systems are expected to become completely autonomous and superior to humans by the end of 2027.

The AI Futures project combines predictive scenarios with science fiction storytelling to envision a possible future impacted by powerful AI systems.

The project’s extreme views have garnered both critics and supporters in the AI community, with some questioning the scientific basis of their predictions.

The AI Futures project aims to incorporate anticipated developments into engaging narratives, despite potential criticism from skeptics.

Critics suggest that fictional AI stories may entertain more than educate, while some AI experts question the group’s assertion that AI will surpass human intelligence.

Despite differing opinions, the project’s speculative predictions offer a unique perspective on the implications of advanced AI technologies.

While some of the scenarios may seem extreme, it is important to consider the potential impact of rapidly advancing AI systems on society.

Kokotajlo’s predictions for AI development milestones include the emergence of superhuman coders and AI researchers by 2027.

As AI systems continue to evolve, the future remains uncertain, with potential implications for various industries and societal norms.

The scenarios presented by the AI Futures project highlight the need for thoughtful consideration of AI’s impact on civilization.

Predicting the future of AI, even with differing opinions, is essential to preparing for the potential challenges and opportunities that advanced technology may bring.

By early 2027, AI is projected to surpass human capabilities in coding and research, leading to unprecedented advancements in AI technology.

The AI Futures project’s focus on fictional AI companies and their progression towards superhuman intelligence offers a speculative glimpse into a possible future.

The emergence of superintelligent AI poses both challenges and opportunities for society, prompting reflection on the implications of advanced AI technologies.

As AI systems advance, it is crucial to consider the ethical, social, and economic implications of superintelligent AI on a global scale.

The future of AI remains uncertain, with predictions ranging from optimistic advancements to catastrophic scenarios.

Despite the uncertainties, forecasting the impact of advanced AI technologies is essential for preparing society for the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

The AI Futures project’s speculative scenarios offer a glimpse into a future where AI surpasses human intelligence, raising important questions about the role of AI in society.

As AI continues to evolve, it is vital to consider how to navigate the potential risks and benefits of superintelligent AI in the coming years.

Source: www.nytimes.com

NOAA helps rehired workers bounce back, raising questions amid storm chaos

This week, workers at the National Marine and Atmospheric Administration faced a sudden change as the federal government attempted to reinstate probationary workers who were previously fired.

Over 600 NOAA workers, including important public safety roles like scientists issuing tsunami alerts, hurricane hunting flight directors, and local forecast office meteorologists, were let go over two weeks ago.

However, a US district judge in Maryland issued a temporary restraining order on Thursday, halting the firing of tens of thousands of workers within the agency and ordering their reinstatement. The Trump administration informed the court on Monday that they were working to reinstate about 24,000 probationary workers affected by widespread layoffs in the federal workforce. (Probationary workers are typically those in their first or second year of federal service, but this status also applies to some promoted employees or former contractors who were hired as full-time employees.)

The Commerce Department confirmed in a court filing that 791 workers, including NOAA employees, had been reinstated across the agency.

The reinstatement process has caused further confusion at NOAA, which had already halted some services due to staffing issues post-layoffs. This included significant disruptions like weather balloon launches in Albany, New York and Cotzevieu, Alaska, which are crucial for accurate weather predictions. Several offices were also closed by the agency.

The reinstatement news came just as a massive storm system swept across the nation, spawning tornadoes and claiming the lives of at least 42 people. NOAA’s National Weather Service division plays a key role in predicting and warning the public about dangerous weather events.

While probation workers at NOAA have technically been reinstated, they are currently on administrative leave and not being asked to return to work. It remains uncertain whether the services previously provided by these workers will be fully restored.

NOAA news agency has directed inquiries to the Department of Commerce, which has not responded to requests for comment.

A Hurricane Modeling Specialist named Andy Hazelton, who was fired last month despite having a PhD, received an email on Monday confirming his reinstatement following the court order.

The email stated, “You will be reinstated to federal service with your previous status, retroactive to the termination date, and placed on paid administrative leave until further action is taken by the court or department.”

Should the court’s order be overturned or the Commerce Department prevail in court, details about potentially reverting to the termination date are unclear.

Hazelton mentioned that he had not received further communication as of Monday and remained hopeful about receiving back pay or eventually resuming his duties.

While the email provided temporary relief, uncertainty remains as rumors persist about further reductions in the NOAA workforce through workforce reduction or Reduction in Force (RIF) measures.

Jaszka, 49, who previously worked as an investigative assistance technician for NOAA law enforcement before being fired, shared similar sentiments.

She expressed frustration at the perception of government workers as a drain on taxpayer resources, fueled by the notion that they are not performing their duties effectively.

Jaszka highlighted the irony of the situation, where government employees were being paid not to work despite their passion for fulfilling NOAA’s mission.

In a court filing, the Commerce Department stated that employees would not be required to return to full duty obligations immediately.

The department is prepared to reinstate all necessary administrative procedures if needed, such as training completion, personnel documentation, badge reissuance, benefit enrollment, and salary restoration.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Meteorologists face backlash despite accurate storm forecasts

overview

  • Forecasts for hurricanes Helen and Milton were very accurate.
  • Meteorologists say they are facing unprecedented skepticism and vitriol despite the strong information they have released.
  • Some blame pre-election political tensions, while others point to climate change denial and the spread of misinformation on social media.

Nearly five days before Hurricane Milton hit Florida, forecasters at the National Hurricane Center predicted its path to within 19 miles of where the storm would later make landfall.

The forecast for Hurricane Helen was similarly accurate. Long before the storm reached the coast, the National Weather Service said “record flooding” in North Carolina, about 400 miles from the coast, was “one of the most significant weather events” in the state’s history. I warned you it would happen.

“The forecast was very accurate and I don’t think anyone was surprised by the landfall location and strength of this storm,” said NBC 6 South Florida meteorologist and hurricane expert John Morales.

But some meteorologists say this is the first time they’ve faced so much skepticism, hatred and conspiratorial backlash at a time when hurricane forecasts are at their most accurate.

They have been unfairly accused, primarily on social media, of steering the hurricane toward Florida or Appalachia. Some people have reported threats of violence online, while others say they have been personally attacked.

“Conspiracy theories have increased tremendously over the past two months, especially on social media, and it’s hurting our ability to do our jobs effectively,” said Matthew Cappucci, a meteorologist at Mailer Weather and The Washington Post. ” he said. “People will see false signals on radar and think we’re having a hurricane. Some people will think we can lead a hurricane into red states.”

Capucci said social media commenters criticized his Harvard education and said he should be fired. Cappucci added that he was recently interrupted at a bar in Louisiana by a man who noticed his MyRadar shirt and claimed that Cappucci worked for Bill Gates.

“He continued to harass me for the next 14 minutes about weather modification,” Capucci said.

Bradley Panovich, chief meteorologist at WCNC in Charlotte, North Carolina, said the messages are “getting more personal, meaner and more persistent.”

“It also takes time and effort away from the job of predicting the weather,” he added.

The wave of opposition and attacks comes as climate change intensifies and meteorologists grapple with the psychological toll of more severe and damaging hurricanes.

“Losing someone to a weather disaster is like losing a patient to a doctor on the operating table,” said Kim Klokow McClain, a senior social scientist supporting the National Weather Service. “Forecasters feel like they can save everyone. They take it personally.”

Hurricane forecasts are now more accurate

Hurricane forecasting has improved dramatically over the past 50 years.

Shel Winkley, a meteorologist at the nonprofit research group Climate Central, said that advances in computing power and a better understanding of storm physics have allowed the National Hurricane Center to develop forecast cones (forecast forecasts) before tropical cyclones develop. He said that he is now able to announce his future career path.

“Our cone is leaner,” Winkley said, meaning forecasters have more confidence in the hurricane’s path.

The National Hurricane Center annually releases data on how its forecasts match reality, and the trend shows tracking errors have been decreasing since the 1970s. At the time, storm forecasts issued 36 hours in advance could be off by about 230 miles. According to NOAA. So far in the 2020s, that margin of error is approximately 57 miles.

Capucci said the center’s predictions for Hurricane Milton were “almost prescient” and among the best in the center’s history.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Hurricane Milton Threatens Florida with Life-Threatening Storm Surge

A storm surge is when hurricane force winds push shallow water towards the coast, causing an abnormal rise in water levels during a storm. Factors such as wind, the angle of approach of the storm, ocean floor shape, and storm’s low pressure all play a role in the intensity of the surge.

Storm surge is a deadly threat from hurricanes as it can quickly flood coastal areas and penetrate far inland.

West Florida’s shallow coastline along the Gulf of Mexico is particularly vulnerable to storm surges due to its gentle slopes and the continental shelf being close to the surface, making it easier for water to rise.

Climate change-induced rising sea levels further increase the risk of flooding in the region, and the impending Hurricane Milton has the potential to cause significant damage.

While the exact landing location of Milton is uncertain, small changes in its path can have a significant impact in areas like Tampa Bay. The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring the storm’s movements and advising residents to be prepared for potential evacuation orders.

Historically, Tampa Bay is at high risk of storm surges due to its underwater topography acting as a funnel for floodwaters. The city’s urban development has also increased the vulnerability of its population and coastal structures to storm-related threats.

As Milton approaches Florida, its size may increase while its winds could weaken, affecting the height of storm surges. Local officials are urging residents to follow evacuation orders to ensure their safety.

Storm surge is a serious concern, particularly with major hurricanes classified as Category 3 or higher. Even lower-ranking storms can produce devastating storm surges, as seen with hurricanes like Katrina and Ike in the past.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

‘Olympic Behind-the-Scenes Video Takes TikTok by Storm’

The Olympic finish line has evolved from just showcasing winning athletes with their medals to now involving every Olympian in the event by sharing videos of themselves unboxing sponsored gear.

These unboxing videos, a social media trend, are now being posted on TikTok by athletes gearing up for their events in Paris this summer.

Millions of viewers are eagerly tuning in to catch a glimpse of the gear set to be worn in the upcoming games.


Alika Schmidt, a 400m specialist from Germany, models an Adidas skirt and quarter-zip sweatshirt, while Australian hurdler Tayleigh Willis dons a yellow and green Asics uniform, showcasing their sponsored gear in TikTok videos.

The buzz around the Paris 2024 uniforms is palpable, with some calling it “the biggest Olympics in fashion history.” The LVMH-sponsored tournament has already sparked interest, with Mongolia’s intricately embroidered kit designed by Ulaanbaatar-based brand Michel & Amazonka gaining traction as a fan favorite.

Videos documenting athletes’ journeys from around the world to the Olympic Village are also gaining momentum on social media platforms. US tennis player Coco Gauff shares a peek into her in-flight meal before her nap, giving followers a taste of the behind-the-scenes action.

Exploring the Olympic Village, Danish handball team members showcase their decorated rooms with personal touches like photos and flags. The glimpse into the athletes’ living spaces, including Paris 2024’s unique cardboard beds, adds a layer of authenticity to the Olympic experience.

The human side of the Olympics is on full display, as athletes like Australian water polo player Tilly Kearns share touching cultural encounters and interactions from the Olympic Village, evoking emotional responses from viewers.

US rugby player Ilona Maher, known for her TikTok presence during the Tokyo Olympics, continues to entertain and engage her audience with content leading up to Paris 2024, showcasing the fun and creative side of the Games.

The Olympics have become a significant platform for athletes and brands alike to connect with diverse audiences through social media, opening up new opportunities for partnerships and content monetization.

As the world unites to celebrate the sporting spirit at the Olympics, the event remains a beacon of unity and a powerful platform for athletes to share their stories and engage with fans worldwide.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Powerful winter storm causes historic California palm tree to fall into ocean


Refugio State Beach, Calif. — Severe storms that hit California have caused damage in some parts of the state. the most iconic tree.

A majestic palm tree that normally flanks Refugio State Beach just north of Santa Barbara has fallen over the past few days. Images show how a huge 100-year-old tree fell into the sea and was completely uprooted.

Local officials say multiple factors caused the trees to fall. Years of coastal erosion were combined with powerful storm surges and supersaturated soil from a series of atmospheric rivers that brought heavy rain and high winds across the state.

“When the ground becomes saturated, the trees begin to fall, and both eucalyptus and palm trees fall over because the ground becomes too wet for their roots to hold in the ground.” Santa Barbara Craig Vanderswag, chief of the County Fire Battalion, told NBC News.

California State Parks Channel Coast District Superintendent Dena Bellman said officials have tagged several more trees on the coast as at high risk of falling, especially with the new heavy rains hitting California. Ta.

Due to this threat, the park is currently temporarily closed to the public.

The dramatic footage is a symbol of the power of these atmospheric rivers, which climate experts say is growing stronger as the planet's temperature rises.

Los Angeles received 75% of its annual average precipitation in the first three weeks of February alone. The city has received more rainfall than Seattle, New Orleans and Miami, and is about 2 inches away from setting a record for the wettest February.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Acapulco, Mexico braces as Hurricane Otis rapidly intensifies into a perilous Category 5 storm

ACAPULCO, Mexico — Hurricane Otis intensified from a tropical storm to a dangerous Category 5 hurricane rapidly as it made its way towards Mexico’s South Pacific coast on Tuesday, ultimately making landfall near the resort town of Acapulco early Wednesday. The potential for devastating damage was predicted.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Otis had maximum sustained wind speeds of 160 mph by late Tuesday. It was located about 55 miles south-southeast of Acapulco and moving north-northwest at a speed of 9 mph.

A hurricane warning was in effect from Punta Maldonado to Zihuatanejo, with a hurricane watch in effect from Lagunas de Chacahua to Punta Maldonado.

Otis is expected to maintain its Category 5 hurricane strength until it reaches land, but it is anticipated to rapidly weaken thereafter due to Mexico’s mountainous region. Otis is forecasted to dissipate over southern Mexico on Wednesday night.

As rain began to fall and winds increased, people in Acapulco hurried home and tourists were forced to leave the beaches.

The state government of Guerrero announced the preparation of 396 evacuation centers to accommodate families affected by wind damage and rising waters.

The Mexican Army and Navy have deployed over 8,000 troops equipped with specialized equipment to aid in the rescue operations. The port of Acapulco, where approximately 300 fishing boats are docked, has been closed by the authorities.

Otis is expected to bring 5 to 10 inches of rainfall to Guerrero, with certain areas possibly experiencing up to 15 inches. This raises concerns about landslides and flash floods in Guerrero’s steep mountains.

In the Atlantic Ocean, hurricane tammy After passing through the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, it continued northeast over open ocean with winds of 115 mph. Tammy was located approximately 925 miles south-southeast of Bermuda. The storm is expected to weaken by Thursday, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

Source: www.nbcnews.com