We’re Approaching a Climate Tipping Point, Yet Leaders May Not Respond

Gerald Bottino/SOPA Images/LightRocket (via Getty Images)

Nearly two years ago, during the COP28 climate summit in the heart of the oil-rich United Arab Emirates, nations committed to begin “transitioning our energy systems away from fossil fuels” to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. However, the global share of energy sourced from fossil fuels has stubbornly remained over 80 percent, consistent with trends from previous decades.

Due to our inability to decarbonize, researchers now believe we have set off Earth’s first “tipping point,” a significant shift in climate that cannot be easily reversed. Current ocean temperatures are alarmingly high, putting coral reefs at risk of widespread death (see page 9).

What obstacles are impeding the energy transition? While there isn’t a straightforward answer, it is often noted that a select few companies, predominantly fossil fuel corporations, are responsible for the majority of emissions. Criticism of such statements is easy, as they deflect responsibility away from consumers who utilize this energy.


Major tech companies are minimizing earlier promises to achieve net zero

However, it is reasonable to critique oil and gas firms that tout their ecological initiatives yet fail to follow through. Many of these companies promote their renewable energy investments, but in reality, their contributions to future energy production remain minimal (see page 16).

Regrettably, the situation appears poised to worsen before it improves. Encouraged by the Trump administration, numerous oil and gas companies have vowed to boost production, while significant players in other sectors, like tech, are downplaying their net-zero commitments.

Next month, governments are set to convene once more to deliberate on climate policy at COP30 in Brazil. While military action is unlikely from the United States, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has yet to confirm his participation. At this juncture, it’s reasonable to question whether any politicians or business leaders genuinely regard the climate change threat seriously. If they do, they must start demonstrating that urgency through action.

Source: www.newscientist.com

Antarctica Could Have Crossed a Critical Ocean Tipping Point

Melting ice sheets in Antarctica will elevate sea levels

durktalsma/getty images

Recent studies suggest that Antarctica may have crossed a critical climate threshold, diminishing hope for recovery. Experts highlight a concerning correlation between the abrupt decline in sea ice since 2016 and anthropogenic ocean warming.

Historically, Antarctic sea ice levels remained stable despite rising global temperatures. However, a drastic shift occurred in 2016, marked by significant reductions in sea ice extent.

By February 2023, Antarctic Ocean Ice recorded a new all-time low, marking the third consecutive summer of reduced sea ice within just seven years. September 2023 also saw unprecedented high levels of Antarctic Ocean Ice.

While climate models have long forecasted reductions in Antarctic sea ice, the pace and scale of the decrease since 2016 are alarming. Researchers convened at the Royal Society in London to evaluate whether these changes signal a critical turning point.

As Marilyn Rafael from the University of California, Los Angeles, notes, natural climate variability alone cannot account for such a rapid shift.

Satellite observations of sea ice have been available since 1979. By utilizing proxy data from Antarctic weather stations, Raphael and her team extended their research timeline back to the early 20th century.

Their analysis, based entirely on historical data, indicates that the likelihood of reaching a minimum sea ice extent in 2023 was less than 0.1%. “We are observing extreme patterns in sea ice behavior,” she explained at the Royal Society Conference.

Alexander Hauman from the Alfred Wegener Institute in Germany emphasizes that this rapid decline in ice formation signifies a climate tipping point, with potential repercussions for the entire continent and broader climatic and ecological systems.

“The entire Antarctic sea ice system is reacting collectively,” he stated at the meeting, noting that the changes observed are poised to have long-term implications.

Last summer’s minimum Antarctic Ocean Ice extent was significantly below historical averages

NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio

Hauman explains that “changes in ice dynamics” may be responsible for this phenomenon. Emerging research indicates that warming seawater contributes to accelerated ice loss, as roughly 90% of the excess heat generated by human activity is absorbed by the oceans.

In Antarctica, a layer of warm, fresh water separates colder, mixed surface waters from warm deep-sea water. However, a recent study by Hauman and his team highlights how shifts in wind patterns and salinity in the Southern Ocean have severely weakened this barrier since 2015, allowing warm deep water to rise to the surface and encourage ice melting. This phenomenon is further exacerbated by climate change-induced warming of deep waters, as indicated by recent research.

Hauman suggests that natural fluctuations in climate may have triggered modifications in salinity and wind patterns, intensifying the effects of anthropogenic warming trapped in deep waters. This could imply that the impact of warming seawater is already being felt in Antarctica, obstructing new sea ice formation.

Hauman notes that recent shifts in ocean circulation can only be counteracted by either mitigating upwelling effects or sudden alterations in salinity within the Southern Ocean. Nevertheless, the potential responses of the system remain highly uncertain.

The ramifications of these developments could be catastrophic. Antarctic sea ice plays a critical role in stabilizing land glaciers and ice sheets. Without adequate sea ice formation, the rate at which these ice structures melt may increase, leading to significant global sea level rise. It is estimated that the Antarctic ice sheet holds enough water to potentially raise global sea levels by up to 58 meters.

The depletion of ice in the Antarctic also alters the Earth’s surface albedo. Darker oceans absorb more solar heat compared to reflective white ice.

Additionally, vast stores of carbon trapped in the Southern Ocean could be released into the atmosphere as deep-sea temperatures rise, as suggested by various studies.

Researchers are just starting to grasp how these types of climate feedback mechanisms might unfold in Antarctica, after many years of relying on inaccurate and low-resolution models.

Topics:

  • Climate change/
  • Antarctica

Source: www.newscientist.com

Amazon’s Deforestation Surges at Alarming Rates, Nearing a Critical Tipping Point

Scientists warn that the Amazon Rainforest has experienced a loss of the rainfall necessary to sustain it, pushing the world’s largest tropical ecosystem toward a potential tipping point.

A recent study published in Nature Communications indicates that deforestation is causing a significant decline in rainfall during the Amazon’s dry season, thereby increasing heat across the region.

Researchers suggest these changes could signify “early signs of biome destabilization,” implying that the forests are beginning to struggle to maintain their balance.

The study analyzed satellite and climate data from 1985 to 2020, encompassing an area of 2.6 million km² (1,000,000 square miles) in Brazil’s Amazon. This is nearly four times larger than Texas.

The data revealed that dry season rainfall has decreased by approximately 21mm (0.8 inches), with about three-quarters of this decline directly associated with deforestation.

During the same period, maximum daily temperatures increased by around 2°C (3.6°F), with 16.5% of this rise attributable to forest loss, while the remainder results from global climate change.

Deforestation contributes to reduced rainfall, while increased methane and carbon dioxide levels result from climate change – Source: Machado et al., Nature Communications (2025)

Plants play a crucial role in the Amazon’s rain cycle by extracting water from the soil and releasing it through a process known as transpiration.

When trees are removed, this cycle weakens, leading to fewer clouds and less rainfall. Consequently, the forest becomes hotter and drier, creating a harmful feedback loop.

If the Amazon reaches a tipping point, it may no longer be able to sustain itself, resulting in a rapid and irreversible collapse of the ecosystem and converting the region into a savanna.

This shift would significantly impact the entire water cycle in South America and release the carbon stored in the rainforests.

“These findings underscore the necessity of preserving and restoring Amazonian forest cover as a vital strategy for mitigating climate change and ensuring ecosystem stability,” the scientists conclude.

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Source: www.sciencefocus.com

The Turning Point: My Decision to Reduce Screen Time – A Regretful Choice

I
unlocked my iPhone just as my weekly screen time notifications popped up—an accidental dismissal before I could take a screenshot—and a wave of frustration washed over me. After dedicating an exhausting week to minimizing my phone usage, aiming to reduce my daily screen time from over four hours to under one, I hoped to enhance my mental wellbeing (and maybe even launch a career as an inspirational speaker). Yet, my efforts felt futile as I couldn’t post any proof online showcasing my offline status. I even contemplated using Photoshop to fabricate a screen time report and scoured Google for a way to retrieve notifications (to no avail).

Over the last decade or so, I’ve tried various self-improvement approaches. I’ve read 105 books in a year, unintentionally eliminated sugar (even from fruit) for a spell, and dabbled in shamanism, including interpretive dance. While I might suggest mastering cooking, driving, and typing with all fingers, I can’t seem to reach myself since I’ve stopped staring at my phone.




Exchange one obsession for another… Joe Stone of Tenerife.
Photo: Courtesy of Joe Stone

“Project Screen Time” was born after I listened to a podcast where comedians recommended avoiding social media for two hours after waking. Absorbing this advice—albeit from an amateur who couldn’t quite trace its origin—I decided to avoid checking Instagram first thing in the morning… and it worked. Surprisingly, steering clear of a barrage of other people’s abs before I’d fully woken up actually lifted my spirits. Even more impressively, I found I could usually hold off until after lunch if I didn’t see anything I felt compelled to react to. This brief moment of clarity quickly morphed into a whirlwind, typical of my approach to new challenges.

I swapped one fixation (constantly checking my phone) for another (intentionally not doing so). In the second week, my screen time plummeted to two hours a day. By the third week, it was down to one-and-a-half hours, and I decided to aim for under 60 minutes. A part of me was impressed that this newfound ability was working well and I appeared to be normal. However, I couldn’t keep this “gift” to myself, gradually boring my friends, acquaintances, and even service workers with tales of my newfound discipline.

Eventually, my quest took on new disruptions. I resented having to pull up maps on my phone, and while cycling, I often found myself lost. Want to show someone a photo or meme? Sorry, you’ll have to Google it on their device instead. I even hesitated to order an Uber after a night out, enduring the agony of watching the app slowly crawl toward my location while my screen time ticked away.


My frustration amplified when my screen time statistics didn’t reflect my efforts. I barely glanced at my phone by 2 PM, yet the data indicated I had used it for 36 minutes. Conspiratorial thoughts began to surface. My screen time report was divided into blue (social), turquoise (entertainment), and orange (productivity and finance). Yet, the majority of my time appeared as a prominent gray. What on earth could that gray signify?!

Eventually, “screen time” was added to my list of taboo topics (along with Taylor Swift’s music and lore, and my interest in Ron DeSantis) that were off-limits at home. My lowest moment occurred while sharing my weekly statistics with a friend. He inquired why “Settings” was my third most-used app. That was simply where I went to check my screen time.

My meltdown over not being able to celebrate my record low screen time (51 minutes a day!) served as a wake-up call. What started as a quest to reduce screen time morphed into a new phone addiction. Instead of escaping the urge to seek validation online, I found an alternate way to gain approval. Nevertheless, all was not lost. This realization nudged me toward the acceptance that I would likely never be a moderate person. I can’t rely on self-regulation (my latest regime—skin care—involves LED masks that automatically shut off after 10 minutes; I fear wearing them in the office could evoke comparisons to a vibrant Hannibal Lecter).

Ultimately, I gave up trying to recapture the elusive Screen Time Report. Instead, I resolved to share fewer aesthetic charts from settings that I could post online. Almost instantly, my DMs exploded with queries about how I managed to refrain from scrolling. I responded to every single one, and a rush of dopamine flooded my reward centers. That day, my screen time was recorded at 3 hours and 36 minutes.

Do you have any thoughts on the issues raised in this article? If you wish to send a response of up to 300 words for consideration in our Letters section, please click here.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Gold can raise its temperature 14 times its melting point without actually melting.

Researchers deployed lasers to overheat gold samples, measuring temperatures with ultra-bright X-ray pulses

Greg Stewart/SLAC National Accelerator Research Institute

A thin layer of wafers that fire laser shots can heat to 14 times the melting point, pushing solids well beyond predicted limits, with some solids potentially lacking any defined melting point.

Overheating is a well-known phenomenon where a solid can exceed its melting point or even its boiling point without altering its state. For instance, water heated in a microwave can reach temperatures above 100°C (212°F) if the container is smooth and undisturbed, but will boil vigorously as soon as disturbed.

Many physicists have suggested an upper overheating limit of approximately three times the standard melting point in Kelvin, termed the entropy catastrophe. This occurs because the entropy, often viewed as the degree of disorder in a system, is greater when the material transitions to a liquid state. Remaining solid at temperatures above this point contradicts the second law of thermodynamics.

Recently, Thomas White from the University of Nevada, Reno, and his team found that gold can heat up to 14 times its melting point, exceeding even the entropy catastrophe.

White and his colleagues directed a powerful laser at a 50-nanometer-thick gold sheet for 45 seconds, then measured the temperature using reflective X-rays through a novel approach. By analyzing shifts in the frequency of the reflected X-rays, they determined the excess energy transferred to the gold, allowing them to calculate the heating effect on the sheet.

“The temperatures we measured were astonishingly high,” White remarked.

After ensuring no errors in their measurements, White and his team revisited existing theories, realizing that the rapid heating of gold likely reduced the solid’s entropy compared to its potential liquid state, surpassing predicted temperature limits. “It’s crucial to state that we haven’t violated the second law of thermodynamics,” White clarified.

The actual limitations of overheating are still open questions, he noted. “I may have thought the overheating limit was resolved in the 1980s, but now I believe it’s a question worthy of further exploration. Can we heat materials beyond their melting point?”

Utilizing this X-ray technology for measuring solid heating may also help simulate the effects of extreme heat and pressure from planetary interiors on materials within very short timescales, according to Sam Vinco at Oxford University. “Currently, there isn’t an effective thermometer for solids that operates on such brief timescales,” he noted.

It will also be fascinating to ascertain if this phenomenon applies to other solids beyond gold, Vinco stated, particularly regarding whether there’s a limit to heating before melting occurs. “What’s captivating is considering whether rapid heating could essentially circumvent traditional thermodynamic principles,” he added.

Source: www.newscientist.com

This daring theory suggests the Big Bang may not be our starting point.

What is the ekpyrotic universe theory? Ekpyrotic Cosmology serves as an alternative to the conventional Lambda-CDM or λCDM model.

The λCDM model relies on a significant flatness of the universe, necessitating a phase of rapid “inflation” to smooth out initial density and temperature fluctuations.

Despite the lack of direct evidence or identifiable causes for this inflation, it provides a solid explanation for many complex aspects of our observable universe, aligning well with current data.

In contrast, ekpyrotic theory posits no beginning of time, substituting the big bang with a “bounce” between two “branes” within a 3D world of 5-dimensional space-time.

The structure of the contemporary universe is established before this bounce, thereby negating the need for inflation.

Additionally, this theory circumvents the problematic “singularities” present in traditional Big Bang cosmology. However, it has its drawbacks, such as the emergence of negative energy particles that could potentially annihilate the universe.

There are also notable divergences in the predictions of ekpyrotic and λCDM theories, including the gravitational wave background’s shape (the random ripples in potential space-time caused by Big Bang forces) and the existence of so-called “ghost particles.”

Nevertheless, there is currently no observational evidence backing Ecpyrus theory in comparison to λCDM cosmology.

Thus, while the theory is a compelling alternative, the standard Big Bang model remains the most widely accepted framework among physicists.


This article addresses the question: “What is the Ekpyrotic Universe Theory?”

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Source: www.sciencefocus.com

China’s CO2 Emissions Are Declining: Is This the Turning Point?

Floating solar farm in Huainan, China is part of the country’s renewable energy expansion

Imago/Alamy

As the world’s leading emitter of carbon dioxide, China has recorded a slight decrease in emissions over the past year, despite an increase in electricity demand. This development signals a promising shift towards cleaner energy sources replacing fossil fuels, although there remains the potential for emissions to rise again.

This information comes from an analysis of China’s economic and energy statistics conducted by Lauri Myllivirta of the Finnish research organization, Research Centre on Energy and Clean Air. A report published in Carbon Brief notes that China’s CO2 emissions dropped by 1% in the past 12 months, with a 1.6% decline reported in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year.

This is not the first instance of reduced CO2 emissions in China; a similar drop occurred in 2022 due to the economic slowdown during the COVID-19 lockdown. However, this marks the first time emissions have decreased alongside increased electricity usage. “This significantly raises the likelihood that the current emissions reduction can be sustained,” said Myllivirta.

The primary driver for this trend is China’s significant expansion of solar, wind, and nuclear energy, which are gradually reducing the reliance on fossil fuel combustion for electricity production. Additionally, the shift away from carbon-heavy industries like cement and steel is contributing to this downward trend, along with a rise in electric vehicle use, which decreases oil demand.

If current trends continue, China’s carbon emissions may keep declining. This sustained drop suggests the country may have reached its peak emissions several years ahead of its 2030 target. According to Myllivirta, this represents significant progress in both tangible and psychological terms in the fight against climate change.

“If Chinese leaders recognize the importance of resolving emissions issues, it could position China as a stronger and more constructive participant in international climate discussions, inspiring other nations to follow suit,” he stated.

Nonetheless, various factors could lead to a resurgence in emissions levels. For example, extreme summer temperatures might drive up electricity consumption for air conditioning. Droughts, like those in 2022 and 2023, could impair hydroelectric output, necessitating increased reliance on coal and gas plants, as noted by David Fishman of the Lantau Group, a consulting firm in Hong Kong.

There is also uncertainty regarding the long-term impact of tariffs imposed during the Trump administration, which may introduce volatility to China’s emissions projections, as Myllivirta highlighted.

In the long run, China will need to harness hundreds of gigawatts annually to satisfy energy demand. Achieving these objectives will depend on the targets set by the Chinese government in its upcoming five-year plan, due in 2026, and on commitments made under the Paris Agreement leading up to this year’s COP30 Summit.

“The trajectory of global climate stability does not hinge solely on China’s actions this summer, but understanding what occurs with China’s emissions in the upcoming years and decades will be crucial,” Myllivirta concluded.

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Source: www.newscientist.com

A Runaway Magnetar Travels Across the Milky Way, Origin Point Unknown, According to Astronomers

SGR 0501+4516 is the most likely candidate for Magnetaru’s Milky Way galaxy, which was not born from the supernova explosion, as originally predicted. The object may be very strange and may provide clues to the mechanism behind the fast radio bursts.



Impressions of Magneter artists. Image credit: ESA.

“A magnetor is a neutron star made up entirely of neutrons. What makes Magnetar unique is the extreme magnetic fields,” says Dr. Ashley Chris, an astronomer at the European Center for Space Research and Technology.

The strangeness of SGR 0501+4516 was identified with the help of ESA’s Gaia spacecraft with the help of a sensitive instrument mounted on the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope.

Initially, Magnetar was discovered in 2008 when NASA’s Swift Observatory discovered a fierce flash of gamma rays from the outskirts of the Milky Way.

As magnetors are neutron stars, the natural explanation for their formation is that they are born in Supernova, where stars can explode and even collapse into ultra-density neutron stars.

This looked like the case of SGR 0501+4516, located near the supernova remnants called HB9.

The separation between the sky magnetor and the center of the supernova remnants is only 80 arcs, or slightly wider than the pinky finger, when seen at the edge of the extended arm.

However, a decade of research with Hubble questions Magnetall’s birthplace.

After the initial observation using ground-based telescopic tunables shortly after the discovery of SGR 0501+4516, astronomers used Hubble’s exquisite sensitivity and stable points to find the faint infrared glow of Magnetaral in 2010, 2012, and 2020.

Each of these images was arranged in a reference frame defined by observations from Gaia Spacecraft. GaiaSpacecraft has created a highly accurate 3D map of almost 2 billion stars in the Milky Way.

This method revealed subtle movements of magnets as they crossed the sky.

“All of this movement we measure is smaller than a pixel in a Hubble image,” said Dr. Joe Lyman, an astronomer at Warwick University.

“The ability to perform such measurements robustly is truly a testament to Hubble’s long-term stability.”

By tracking the magnetor’s location, astronomers were able to measure the apparent movement of the object across the sky.

Both the velocity and direction of movement of SGR 0501+4516 indicated that the magnetor was not associated with the remains of nearby supernova.

Tracking the magnetor’s trajectory thousands of years in the past showed that there were no other supernova remnants or large star clusters that it could be associated with.

If SGR 0501+4516 was not born on a supernova, the magnetors must be older than the estimated age of 20,000, or they may have been formed in a different way.

Magnetors can also be formed through a process called amalgamation or accretion-induced decay of two low-mass neutron stars.

Acceleration-induced decay requires a binary star system containing white dwarves.

When a white dwarf pulls gas from its companions, it grows too large to support itself, leading to an explosion, or perhaps a magnet.

“This scenario usually leads to a nuclear reaction ignition and a white d star explosion, leaving nothing behind,” said Dr Andrew Levan, an astronomer at Ladboo University and Warwick University.

“However, it is theorized that under certain conditions, white dwarfs may instead collapse into neutron stars. I think this is how SGR 0501+4516 was born.”

SGR 0501+4516 is currently the best candidate for galaxy magnetarals and may have been formed by a merger or an adductive decay.

The magnets formed through accretion-induced decays can provide some explanation for the mystical fast radio bursts, which are short but powerful flashes of radio waves.

In particular, this scenario may explain the origins of fast radio bursts that emerge from a group of stars that are too old to recently create a huge star to explode as a supernove.

“The magnetor’s fertility and formation scenarios are one of the most pressing issues of high-energy astrophysics, affecting many of the most powerful temporary events in the universe, including gamma-ray bursts, superilluminating supernovas and fast radio bursts.”

Survey results It will be displayed in the journal Astronomy and Astrophysics.

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aa chrime et al. 2025. Magnetor SGR 0501+4516 infrared support and proper movement. A&A 696, A127; doi: 10.1051/0004-6361/202453479

Source: www.sci.news

Scientists’ Grave Concern over Hidden Climate Tipping Point

If you want to unsettle climate scientists, simply stand next to them and quietly mention the phrase “tipping point” in their ear. While climate change due to global warming is already concerning, the concept of climate tipping points adds an extra layer of fear. But what exactly are they and why are they causing alarm?

We find ourselves in a unique time where Earth’s average temperature is increasing at a rate at least 10 times faster than ever recorded in geological history. This has led to a surge in extreme weather events, melting ice sheets, and rising sea levels. Despite these clear signs, greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise rapidly, with global temperatures increasing by 1.64°C (nearly 3°F) in the past year alone. As a result, the possibility of irreversible and drastic changes in the climate system becomes more and more likely.

Tipping points are named as such because they require a critical threshold to be crossed before a significant change occurs. Once activated, like a seesaw tipping over, there is no turning back. These moments, as defined by the American Cultural Heritage English Dictionary, are described as “a critical moment in a complex situation where a small influence or development suddenly produces a large or irreversible change.” This holds true for the climate crisis we face.

How things shift

One of the challenges for scientists studying global warming is the unpredictability of tipping points in terms of timing and impact. Additionally, how these points are integrated into climate models can greatly affect predictions of future climate change. The complexity of the climate system suggests that there are numerous tipping points, with nine identified as having the potential to trigger significant global environmental changes.

These include the potential collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, and release of methane from melting Arctic permafrost. Each of these events could have far-reaching consequences, from massive sea level rise to increased carbon levels in the atmosphere.

While some of these tipping points may seem distant, the looming collapse of the Gulf Stream and associated ocean currents presents an immediate concern. Previously considered unlikely, recent data suggests that this crucial system may be on the brink of destabilization sooner than expected, posing a threat to the UK and Northern Europe’s climate stability.

Recent research suggests Antarctic ice sheets may be melting faster than existing models predict – Photo courtesy of Getty Images

The Earth’s great engine

Understanding the significance of AMOC’s collapse requires knowledge of its role as a key component of the global ocean current system. This system, known as the global conveyor belt, transports heat from the tropics to the Arctic, playing a crucial role in global climate and weather patterns.

The sheer scale of AMOC’s operation is astounding, moving millions of cubic meters of water and gigawatts of heat every second. However, disruptions to this system, such as increased freshwater input from melting ice, can hinder AMOC’s ability to function properly, potentially causing a shutdown with severe global consequences.

If AMOC were to fail, global weather patterns would be disrupted, leading to a range of impacts from cooler temperatures in Europe to altered monsoons in Asia and Africa. The effects would be felt globally, with implications for food security, migration patterns, and geopolitical stability.

Source: www.sciencefocus.com

At what point in history did the Galapagos giant tortoise grow so big?

The Galapagos Islands are equatorial islands in the eastern Pacific Ocean, approximately 900 kilometers (500 miles) west of northern South America. Scientists have identified more than 1,500 native species of birds, reptiles, and other animals that live only on these islands, which are known for their biodiversity. One famous example is the Galapagos tortoise. This giant tortoise can weigh up to 400 kilograms (nearly 1,000 pounds), making it the largest cold-blooded land animal.

Scientists have speculated about the evolution of Galapagos tortoises. Charles Darwin visited this island for the first time aboard the HMS. Beagle 1835. Researchers agree These turtles originate from the South American continent, but it is still unknown how they migrated to the island and when they reached their impressive size.

Some scientists believe that Galapagos giant tortoises became large after immigrating to the islands, while others argue that the tortoises grew large before leaving the mainland. Proponents of the “then” hypothesis cite several examples in which island birds and snakes similarly grew larger than continental birds and snakes. Proponents of the “before” hypothesis argue that gigantism may have helped turtles cross oceans. They suggest that larger turtles have slower metabolisms, so they lose less body heat in the water, and have larger, more buoyant shells.

Researchers from the United States and Ecuador recently reconsidered the Galapagos tortoise debate based on new fossils collected off the coast of Ecuador. Paleontologists have previously discovered fossilized large turtles in southern South America, which they claim are ancestors of Galapagos giant tortoises. However, these fossils are located far south of the equatorial islands, and scientists have found no direct evidence that they are related to the Galapagos species. These researchers therefore wanted to test giant tortoise fossils found near the island.

The new turtle fossil was composed of shell material collected from sandstone of the Tablazo Formation on mainland Ecuador. The researchers explained that these fossils were only briefly described by researchers studying mammal fossils in the 1950s, so they may have been missed by earlier scientists. Researchers estimated that the fossil belonged to a turtle that was more than 1 meter (or 3 feet) long, and about the size of a Galapagos giant tortoise. Past researchers Researchers narrowed down the age of the Tabrazo Formation to between 780,000 and 12,000 years, making it the oldest giant tortoise fossil discovered by scientists in northern South America.

The researchers compared the new Ecuadorian giant tortoise fossils with fossils from other South American and Caribbean giant tortoises, as well as with extant Galapagos tortoises. They use features such as shape, structure, size, and age of fossilized and modern turtle shells to create a picture of how these turtles and their potential ancestors are related. Created. Phylogenetic tree. They called these trees: Tip dateThat’s because they placed different types of turtles at the ends, or “tips,” of trees and assigned each species an estimated age, or “dated.”

They used a statistical method called . Bayesian analysis Evaluate the probability that each tree is correct based on known relationships between several species and new data from Ecuadorian fossils. The research team found that Galápagos tortoises are more closely related to Ecuadorian tortoise fossils than any other species included, based on the most likely tree shape, and that the two groups have a common Confirmed that they share a common ancestry.

The researchers interpreted the phylogenetic analysis as supporting previous researchers’ claims that a population of giant tortoises lived on the coast of Ecuador more than 2 million years ago. The researchers explained that this was around the same time and place that scientists believe Galapagos tortoises hitchhiked to the islands on the Humboldt Current, which flows north along the west coast of South America. Therefore, they suggested that their findings support the “previous” hypothesis proposed by some scientists.

Researchers concluded that Galapagos tortoises were gigantic before they left mainland South America. However, researchers cautioned that South America’s fossil record is incomplete and poorly preserved, and dating the evolution of Galapagos tortoises remains difficult. They will collect more giant tortoise fossils from South America, possibly incorporating ancient DNA, to help future scientists further examine when and where the Galapagos giant tortoise species originated. Recommended to describe and analyze.


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Source: sciworthy.com

Hollywood video game actors reach breaking point and go on strike in protest: Games

Hollywood video game performers have voted to go on strike, bringing parts of the entertainment industry back into strike action after new contract negotiations with major game studios collapsed over protections for artificial intelligence.

The walkout, the second by video game voice and motion-capture performers affiliated with the Screen Actors Guild-American Federation of Television and Radio Entertainers (Sag-Aftra), is set to begin on Friday at 12:01 a.m. This move comes after almost two years of negotiations over a new interactive media contract with gaming giants like Activision, Warner Bros., and divisions of The Walt Disney Co.

SAG-AFTRA negotiators state that while video game contracts cover wages and job security, studios are not willing to agree to regulate generative AI. Without safeguards, game companies could train AI to mimic actors’ voices or create digital replicas of their likenesses without their consent or fair compensation, as per the union.

In a prepared statement, union president Fran Drescher mentioned that members will not accept contracts that permit companies to misuse AI.

Company representatives did not immediately respond to email requests for comment.

According to game market forecasters, the global video game industry generates over $100 billion in revenue annually. New Zoo Sag-Aftola emphasized that the individuals who design and bring these games to life are what drives their success.

“Eighteen months of negotiations have shown that our employers are not interested in fair and reasonable AI protections, but rather in exploitative behavior,” stated Sarah Elmaleh, chair of the Interactive Media Agreement Negotiating Committee.

Last month, a union negotiator informed The Associated Press that game studios had declined to provide the same level of protection from AI risks for all members, especially motion picture performers.

Last year, union members overwhelmingly voted to authorize leadership to strike. Fears about how studios might utilize AI in a strike were intensified by AI. Last year, labor unions staged a four-month strike in the film and television industry.

The final interactive contract, expiring in November 2022, did not include protections for AI but established a bonus compensation structure for voice actors and performance capture artists following an 11-month strike that commenced in October 2016. This strike marked SAG-AFTRA’s first significant labor dispute since the merger of Hollywood’s two major actors unions in 2012.

According to the union, the video game contract covers more than 2,500 “off-camera (voice-over) performers, on-camera (motion capture, stunt) performers, stunt coordinators, singers, dancers, puppeteers, and background performers.”

Amidst tense interactive negotiations, SAG-AFTRA entered into a separate deal in February aimed at indie and low-budget video game projects. The Tiered Budget Independent Interactive Media deal consists of some of the AI protections that have been rejected by larger companies in the video game industry.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Elon Musk’s Trip to China leads to Rapid Progress, a Turning Point for Tesla and the Auto Industry

Reports suggest that Elon Musk’s visit to China led to an immediate benefit with a deal for Tesla to utilize mapping data from Baidu, a major web search company, to introduce driver-assistance technology to the largest car market globally. This marks a significant advancement.

Over the weekend, Musk made a surprise visit to China. He shared a photo of his meeting with Chinese Premier Li Qiang on the social network X, which he acquired in 2022.

According to sources referenced by Bloomberg News, Baidu, a dominant force in Chinese web search, will offer mapping and navigation services to aid Tesla in implementing driver-assistance technology labeled as “Full Self-Driving” (FSD). The provision of mapping services, crucial for driver-assistance technology, is strictly regulated by the Chinese government.

Despite its name, FSD does not enable autonomous driving. It necessitates a driver who is prepared to take control at any moment. Launching in China could enhance Tesla’s position in the competitive market there and boost revenue. The service costs $8,000 or $99 (£80) per month, but is not accessible in many countries.

Musk has had confrontational interactions with politicians in the past, criticizing U.S. President Joe Biden and entering a dispute in Brazil over censorship issues on X, formerly Twitter. However, his approach towards China’s second-ranking official, Li, was more conciliatory, expressing being “honored” to meet him.

Musk’s interactions with China have been complex due to various business ties. X is blocked by the Chinese government due to strict censorship policies. Additionally, there were concerns from the Chinese government regarding an incident involving a satellite launched by SpaceX, Musk’s rocket company, coming close to their space station.

However, Tesla operates a factory in Shanghai, and its Model Y was the third best-selling electric or plug-in hybrid vehicle in China in March 2024, according to CleanTechnica. BYD, a Chinese competitor to Tesla in electric car sales, has two top-selling models.

The news of Musk’s visit and the partnership with Baidu were met with enthusiasm by Tesla investors, who view potential self-driving capabilities as crucial for Tesla’s position as the most valuable automaker globally. Tesla’s stock price rose by 6% in premarket trading in New York.

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Dan Ives, a technology analyst at Wedbush investment bank, mentioned in a client note that Tesla’s future standing relies heavily on FSD and autonomous driving. He emphasized the significance of making FSD accessible in China, a step that appears to be imminent.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Intel reveals largest neuromorphic computer inspired by the brain at Hala Point

Hala Point neuromorphic computer is powered by Intel’s Loihi 2 chip

Intel Corporation

Intel has developed the world’s largest neuromorphic computer, a device that aims to mimic the behavior of the human brain. The company hopes to be able to run more advanced AI models than traditional computers can run, but experts say the device will not be able to compete with, let alone surpass, the cutting-edge. says there are engineering hurdles to overcome.

Expectations for neuromorphic computers are high because they are inherently different from traditional machines. While regular computers use a processor to perform operations and store data in separate memory, neuromorphic devices use artificial neurons for both storage and calculation, similar to our brains. To do. This eliminates the need to pass data between components, which can be a bottleneck in today’s computers.

This architecture has the potential to result in much greater energy efficiency, and Intel says its new Hala Point neuromorphic computer will solve an optimization problem that involves finding an optimal solution to a problem given certain constraints. It claims to use 100 times less energy than traditional machines when running. It also trains and runs AI models that use chains of neurons, similar to how a real brain processes information, rather than mechanically passing input through each layer of artificial neurons as in current models. New methods may also become possible.

Hala Point contains 1.15 billion artificial neurons across 1152 Loihi 2 chips, capable of 380 trillion synaptic operations per second. mike davis Despite this power, Intel says it takes up only six racks of space in a standard server case, which is about as much space as a microwave oven. Larger machines will also be possible, Davis said. “We built a system of this scale because, honestly, one billion neurons was a good number,” he says. “So there were no special technical engineering challenges that would cause us to stop at this level.”

No other existing machine can match Harapoint’s scale, but Deep South, a neuromorphic computer due for completion later this year, is said to be capable of 228 trillion synaptic operations per second.

The Loihi 2 chip is still a prototype that Intel has produced in small numbers, but Davis said the real bottleneck is the processing required to take a real-world problem, translate it into a format that can run on a neuromorphic computer, and run it. It is said to be in the software layer. process. This process, like neuromorphic computing in general, is still in its infancy. “Software is a big limiting factor,” he says. That means there’s still little point in building a large machine.

Intel has suggested that machines like Hala Point could create AI models that continuously learn, rather than having to be trained from scratch to learn new tasks like current models do. Masu.but james knight Researchers at the University of Sussex in the UK dismissed this as “hype”.

Knight points out that current models like ChatGPT are trained using graphics cards running in parallel, which means many chips can be used to train the same model. But since neuromorphic computers operate on a single input and cannot be trained in parallel, it could take decades to even initially train something like ChatGPT on such hardware. He says it’s expensive, let alone come up with a way to enable continuous learning once it’s up and running.

Although current neuromorphic hardware is not suitable for training large-scale AI models from scratch, Davis said that one day pre-trained models could be used to learn new tasks over time. He said he hopes it will be possible. “Although this method is still in the research phase, this is a kind of continuous learning problem that large-scale neuromorphic systems like Hala Point can solve in a very efficient way in the future. “It’s considered,” he says.

Knight said neuromorphic computers could solve many other computer science problems as the tools needed for developers to write software for these problems to run on their own hardware become more mature. We are optimistic that we can improve this and increase efficiency at the same time.

It may also offer a better path toward human-level intelligence, also known as artificial general intelligence (AGI), although many AI experts believe that large-scale language models that power things like ChatGPT I think it’s impossible. “I think it’s becoming less and less of a controversial opinion,” Knight says. “The dream is that one day neuromorphic computing will allow us to create brain-like models.”

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Nvidia Reports Record Revenue as AI Reaches Tipping Point

The artificial intelligence boom has pushed demand for Nvidia products beyond Wall Street’s already high expectations.

The company announced fourth-quarter results on Wednesday that significantly beat analysts’ expectations, with revenue of $22.1 billion versus the $20.55 billion expected and earnings of $4.93 per share versus the $4.64 expected. became. Revenue increased 22% sequentially and 265% year over year.

Revenue from data centers, Nvidia’s most-watched revenue, increased more than 400% year-over-year to $18.4 billion.


Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang said in a press release: “Accelerated computing and generative AI have reached a tipping point. Demand is surging around the world across companies, industries, and nations.”

Nvidia’s earnings and stock demand are seen as a bellwether for overall interest in artificial intelligence, as the company relies heavily on its products to develop AI. Microsoft, OpenAI, Amazon, Meta, and Google have all signed deals to buy the company’s chips in bulk as they race to release new AI products and features.

Some major companies, including OpenAI’s Sam Altman, are launching their own AI chip ventures to compete with established Nvidia, which would likely cost hundreds of billions of dollars. .

Nvidia plans to ship a new chip, the B100, which will be the top of its product line, in 2024, raising expectations for explosive growth. Nokia and Nvidia on Wednesday announced a partnership to develop AI solutions that can improve communications infrastructure.

Wall Street has come to expect big growth from Nvidia. Analysts’ baseline forecast on Wednesday was for sales to increase his 240%. Tech companies are rushing to develop AI products that leverage the company’s proprietary AI chips and software, considered the best on the market.

Nvidia’s revenue tripled last quarter, and its profits for the past four quarters have exceeded analyst expectations.

The company’s stock price has more than tripled over the past year, valuing the company at more than $1.5 trillion. The company surpassed Google and Amazon in market capitalization last week, making it the world’s third-largest company by value within days.

Source: www.theguardian.com

By 2050, Half of the Amazon Rainforest May be Reaching a Climate Tipping Point

Forest fires in the Amazon in October 2023

Gustavo Basso/Null Photography via Getty Images

Large parts of the Amazon rainforest are threatened by the combined effects of drought, heat and deforestation, and some ecosystems may be pushed past tipping points. But the likelihood of a larger collapse remains uncertain.

“Forests as a whole are very resilient, so we still have room to act,” he says. Marina Hirota at the Federal University of Santa Catarina, Brazil.

Researchers have warned for decades that rising temperatures and deforestation could push the Amazon past a tipping point, leading to runaway feedbacks that could lead to a rapid transition from forest to savannah. The drought and heat caused by the ongoing El Niño phenomenon, as well as the warming temperatures caused by climate change, are once again on the rise.

But climate and ecological models that describe the Amazon's highly complex structure disagree on when and where such a tipping point would occur.

To understand which regions of the Amazon are most at risk, Hirota and his colleagues looked at satellite data to see how several different ecosystem stressors might change in the coming decades. evaluated. These include dry season temperatures, exposure to drought, and the risk of fire and deforestation.

They estimate that 10 percent of the Amazon basin is at risk of being exposed to at least two of these stressors by 2050 and is therefore likely to transition to degraded forest- or savanna-like ecosystems. I discovered that. 47% of this watershed is predicted to be exposed to at least one stressor, meaning it is also exposed to some hazard.

“Due to ongoing changes, we will lose some forest, but there are things we can do to prevent it from reaching 47%,” Hirota says. She said the majority of forests that are not exposed to stressors are located within protected areas; indigenous territory, which is associated with low deforestation rates. Brazil's deforestation rate also fell sharply under President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's administration. Increased in other areas as well Amazon's.

dominique spracklen Researchers from the University of Leeds in the UK say the study is a powerful investigation into the range of threats facing the Amazon. But he says the discrepancies between models predicting potential tipping points remain unresolved.

For example, models predict that some of the negative effects of warming could be offset by increased concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere, which could boost plant growth. . However, other factors such as nutrients and water availability vary widely across the basin and influence the strength of this impact, creating considerable uncertainty in modeling the future of the Amazon. .

“It's a very scary place for such an important ecosystem,” he says.

Nature
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0

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Source: www.newscientist.com