In March 2021, the remains of over 260 marine animals from 81 distinct species were found washed ashore in South Africa. Scientists are investigating whether this alarming occurrence was linked to substantial temperature drops caused by a process known as coastal upwelling, where deep, cold water rises to the surface, leading to rapid cooling.
While climate change is warming ocean temperatures, it is also intensifying coastal upwelling, potentially disrupting marine megafauna. Researchers focused on two rapidly warming boundary currents—the Agulhas Current in southern Africa and the East Australian Current in eastern Australia—to evaluate how these changes in upwelling zones could lead to more frequent and severe cold shock events affecting species like sharks.
To understand the events that occurred in March 2021, the scientists analyzed satellite data on sea surface temperatures and collected hourly temperature records from loggers to track subsurface temperature variations. They discovered that coastal sea temperatures plummeted by up to 7°C (12°F), dropping from 24°C (75°F) to below 17°C (63°F) within a mere 48 hours. Simultaneously, subsurface temperatures decreased more than 9°C (16°F) over 24 hours.
Bull sharks, which experience physiological stress at temperatures below 19°C (66°F), were likely pushed beyond their thermal tolerance limit during this cold shock event, potentially by over 5°C (10°F).
The research team equipped 66 bull sharks—41 in the Agulhas Current and 25 in the East Australian Current—with acoustic and satellite transmitters to monitor their responses in relation to lower thermal limits. Acoustic tags track shark movements via underwater receivers, while satellite tags log temperature and depth data for extended periods.
Data analysis revealed significant findings: prolonged low temperatures hindered sharks’ physiological recovery, resulting in some migrating to shallower depths in search of warmth, though cooling can occur too swiftly for them to adapt.
Wind records from the South African Weather Service indicated that strong easterly winds, which triggered upwelling, preceded the 2021 event. The correlation of cooling temperatures, fierce winds, and marine animal deaths suggests that coastal upwelling was a critical factor in this die-off.
Examining 41 years of sea surface temperature data, researchers employed mathematical models to assess the frequency and intensity of these rapid cooling incidents. Their results demonstrated that such events can persist longer than the usual one to three days, with the March 2021 incident lasting a full seven days.
The frequency and intensity of these cold shock events have notably escalated in recent decades, leading to more extreme temperature reductions than typically seen in just 24 hours. Their conclusions indicate that the 2021 marine die-off is indicative of a broader trend where warm ocean conditions allow species migration, yet intensified upwelling can suddenly expose marine life to life-threatening cold events, a phenomenon termed climate bait and switch.
The researchers concluded that climate change is likely reinforcing coastal upwelling processes, pushing marine megafauna beyond their thermal limits, despite initial warming benefits. These findings shed light on a crucial aspect of climate change, emphasizing how temperature fluctuations and upwelling can directly affect species survival. The implications of this research could prove vital for predicting future responses of marine ecosystems to changing ocean conditions.
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Source: sciworthy.com
