Alpine Communities Confront Uncertain Future Following 2025 Glacier Collapse

Landslide in Bratten, Switzerland

Bratten, Switzerland: Landslide Devastation in May 2025

Alexandre Agrusti/AFP via Getty Images

In May 2025, the picturesque village of Bratten in the Swiss Alps was tragically destroyed by a massive glacier collapse. Thanks to meticulous monitoring, nearly all residents were safely evacuated.

The initial warning signs emerged on May 14, when the Swiss avalanche warning service reported a minor rockfall in the area. Trained observers, who typically have other full-time roles, were on alert for signs of potential danger.

Detailed investigations followed, utilizing images from cameras installed on the glacier after a previous avalanche in the 1990s. “The angles provided crucial insights into shifts in the mountain,” explained Mylène Jacquemart from ETH Zurich, Switzerland.

On May 18 and 19, 300 residents were evacuated, but one individual, a 64-year-old man, resisted leaving his home.

On May 28, the situation escalated as the glacier suffered a catastrophic collapse. “This was an enormous rock avalanche,” Jacquemart stated.

The glacier had accumulated debris from previous years, and when a rockfall occurred, it triggered the collapse of 3 million cubic meters of ice, along with 6 million cubic meters of rock, ravaging a significant portion of the village. Regrettably, the man who opted to remain was killed.

Contrary to some media reports suggesting advanced surveillance technology monitored the glacier, Jacquemart clarified, “The observer’s office didn’t have an elaborate alarm system; a simple red light indicated a problem.”

However, Jacquemart emphasized that Switzerland’s monitoring system ensures effective communication and distinct accountability regarding evacuation decisions.

Satellite Image of the Landslide Area on May 30

European Union, Copernicus Sentinel 2 imagery

What contributed to this disaster? The likelihood of rockfalls exacerbated by climate change is a pressing concern. As global warming causes Alpine glaciers to retreat, the incidence of rockfalls is on the rise. Switzerland’s average temperature has increased by nearly 3 degrees since the pre-industrial era, resulting in melting permafrost that allows water to infiltrate cracks in the rocks.

“There’s a clear connection between climate change and the increase in rockfalls,” Jacquemart remarks. “Dramatic transformations are occurring in high-altitude regions, and the consequences are alarming.”

Yet, Jacquemart advises against attributing the Bratten tragedy solely to recent warming phenomena. The slow geological adjustment to post-Ice Age conditions could also be a factor, she notes.

The immediate future remains unclear for Bratten’s residents. Local authorities declared that the village cannot be reconstructed on unstable ground. Plans are underway for rebuilding, but the area remains susceptible to further landslides, and establishing protective measures demands significant financial resources.

“Communities in mountainous regions worldwide, from the Alps to the Andes and the Himalayas, face increasing threats from the intensity and frequency of mountain-related disasters,” stated Kamal Kishore, United Nations Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction, in a recent statement. “Their livelihoods, cultural heritage, and way of life are under severe threat.”

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Source: www.newscientist.com

As Atmospheric Rivers Persist, Washington’s Infrastructure Faces Collapse.

Numerous levees have collapsed, over a dozen highways have been shut down, and one fatality has been reported in Washington state as an atmospheric river storm continues to hammer the area, putting its infrastructure to the test.

Although the state’s dams and levees managed to withstand the initial wave of last week’s storms, the ongoing rainfall is beginning to overwhelm some levees.

Additionally, various low-lying areas in Western Washington remain inundated with slowly subsiding floodwaters.

During a news conference on Tuesday, Governor Bob Ferguson reported that there have been over 1,200 rescues across 10 counties since December 8. Thirteen state highways remain closed, and Highway 2, a key route across the Cascades, may remain shut for months. Interstate 90, the largest highway in the state, is also blocked due to a significant landslide.

“Our infrastructure is under significant strain,” Ferguson stated. “It has been compromised.”

Flooding occurred on Francis Road in Skagit County, Washington on Friday.
Evan Bush/NBC News

A 33-year-old man lost his life early Tuesday in Snohomish County, north of Seattle, when his car veered off into a ditch on a submerged rural farm road.

“We believe this marks the first fatality linked to this storm,” Ferguson commented, noting it was somewhat miraculous that there haven’t been additional casualties.

Courtney O’Keefe, public information director for the Snohomish County Sheriff’s Office, stated that the man was driving a Chevrolet Tahoe that drove through a traffic stop as his car began to flood. He called a friend, prompting them to contact 911 for help.

“There’s a ditch right next to the road. During flooding, it’s challenging to determine where the road ends and the ditch starts,” O’Keefe noted, mentioning that the tragic accident is still being investigated.

In the last two days, two levees have failed in the suburbs of Seattle.

The latest incident occurred Tuesday morning in the town of Pacific, close to the White River.

“A leak as wide as a fire hose was detected last night around 12:30,” informed Sheri Badger, a spokeswoman for the King County Emergency Management Agency. “It has since increased to approximately 120 feet in length.”

The semi-permanent embankment was built with HESCO Barrier, a mesh and fabric structure filled with sand, earth, and gravel. Badger explained that barriers were stacked atop one another, with water seeping through the gaps.

An evacuation advisory has been issued for 1,300 residents in the area. Crews are actively adding sandbags and “super sacks” to reinforce the breach.

On Monday, a six-foot section of another levee gave way in Tukwila, a locality on the Green River south of Seattle. King County ordered an evacuation for around 1,100 individuals, but crews managed to promptly repair the breach, limiting the damage.

The embankment had been previously damaged by flooding about four years ago and remained partially unrehabilitated.

At least two dams are currently being monitored for cracks or potential failures, according to the state Department of Ecology. One such dam is Lake Sylvia Dam, which is classified as “poor condition” with “significant” risks as per the National Inventory of Dams, with the last inspection conducted in November 2024. It was built in 1918.

Spokesman Andrew Weinke indicated that several roads could be at risk in the event of a dam failure, but there would be no immediate repercussions for homes or residents.

Much of western Washington is traversed by rivers that flow steeply from the Cascade Mountains. These rivers, which drain into Puget Sound, historically meandered across wide floodplains, forming a complex network. However, over a century ago, much of it was dammed and straightened for potable water, flood control, and hydroelectric energy generation. As a result, streams evolved into channelized rivers, akin to superhighways for water flow.

Since that time, levee systems have been reinforced to contain the water, with homes and industrial buildings often constructed near the floodplain’s edges.

Certain areas that have experienced severe flooding previously are likely to be inundated again.

On Monday, a house was surrounded by floodwaters in Sumas.
Brandon Bell/Getty Images

Atmospheric rivers, such as the recent storm systems, appear like fire hoses on weather radar.

These storms are often referred to as the “Pineapple Express” as they can carry humidity and warmth from Pacific waters near Hawaii and other tropical regions.

The Pacific Northwest typically handles one or two of these storms without significant impact; however, three heavy rain events have occurred since December 8. Some parts of the North and Central Cascades received up to 16 inches of rain within three days, making them the steepest and most rugged mountains in the continental United States.

“The atmospheric river phenomenon was considerable, but not unprecedented,” stated state climatologist Guillaume Mauger. “What stands out is the consecutive nature of these storms.”

Members of a Sumas household were working on Monday to repair their homes, which were flooded during last week’s heavy rains.
Brandon Bell/Getty Images

He noted that more intense river flooding is anticipated in the future as rising temperatures will lead to increased rainfall rather than snowfall. As the climate warms, rainfall also tends to become more intense.

One study predicts flooding along the Skagit River by the end of this century, with potential volumes increasing by nearly 50% every 100 years by the 2080s. Given that the river already has dams, existing flood control measures are deemed “mostly ineffective,” the study found.

Mauger suggested that the best approach to mitigate future risks is to provide rivers with more space.

As more storms are on the horizon, dam operators are compelled to redirect water to upstream reservoirs to avert potential flooding.

John Taylor, Director of King County Natural Resources and Parks, mentioned that officials are closely monitoring several levees of concern and reinforcing those known to be weak.

“We’ve noticed that levees, which typically perform well during floods, are starting to fail due to saturation and significant pressure,” he explained.

The Skagit and Snoqualmie rivers are expected to reach or surpass major flood stage by Thursday morning.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Study: Chronic Severe River Drought Caused the Collapse of the Indus Valley Civilization

According to a recent study, severe and long-lasting river droughts, lasting over 85 years each, impacted the Indus basin from 4,400 to 3,400 years ago. This finding may provide insights into the gradual decline of this ancient civilization and underscores how environmental factors can influence historical societies.

An artist’s reconstruction of the gates and drainage channels of the ancient city of Harappa. Image credit: Chris Sloan.

The Indus Valley Civilization, one of the earliest urban cultures, thrived between 5,000 and 3,500 years ago along the Indus River and its tributaries in present-day Pakistan and northwestern India.

During its zenith, around 4,500 to 3,900 years ago, the civilization was noted for its advanced urban centers and sophisticated systems for managing water resources.

Despite this, the reasons behind the protracted decline following its peak remain largely elusive.

“The Indus River played a crucial role in the growth of the ancient Indus Valley civilization by offering a consistent water source for agriculture, trade, and communication,” stated Dr. Bimal Mishra from the Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar and his colleagues.

“Civilizations prospered near the Indus River and its tributaries approximately 5,000 years ago and evolved over time.”

“The mature Harappan phase (4,500 to 3,900 years ago) was marked by meticulously planned cities, advanced water management techniques, and an intricate writing system.”

“However, post 3,900 years ago, the Harappan civilization began to deteriorate and eventually fell into decline.”

“The causes for this decline are still under discussion. Potential factors encompass shifts in river dynamics influenced by climate change, ocean retreat, drought, flooding, and alterations in social and political structures.”

“Understanding ancient hydroclimatic events and their impact on societies provides vital insights into the susceptibility of complex societies to environmental pressures.”

For this research, the authors simulated climate patterns in the Indus Valley from 5,000 to 3,000 years ago.

They integrated these findings with various indirect climate indicators, including the geochemistry of stalactites and stalagmites from two caves in India and water level data from five lakes in northwestern India.

The results indicated that temperatures rose by approximately 0.5 degrees Celsius during this time, while average annual precipitation in the region decreased by 10% to 20%.

They were able to identify four significant drought periods lasting over 85 years between 4,450 and 3,400 years ago, impacting 65% to 91% of the Indus Valley area.

“These droughts affected the selection of settlement locations in the Indus Valley Civilization,” the researchers noted.

“From 5,000 to 4,500 years ago, settlements were primarily situated in regions with abundant rainfall.”

“However, after 4,500 years ago, they shifted closer to the Indus River as drought conditions began to limit water availability.”

“The last identified drought, lasting 113 years from 3,531 to 3,418 years ago, corresponds with archaeological evidence of significant urbanization in the Indus Valley Civilization.”

“Instead of collapsing abruptly due to sudden climate changes, the Indus civilization likely faced a gradual decline, with extended drought being a key factor,” concluded the researchers.

Their study was published on November 27 in the journal Communication Earth and Environment.

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H. Solanki et al. 2025. River drought forcing Harappan metamorphosis. Communication Earth and Environment 6,926; doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02901-1

Source: www.sci.news

Global Warming and Drought: The Factors Behind the Indus Civilization’s Collapse

Indus Valley Civilization ruins in Moenjodaro, Pakistan

Sergey-73/Shutterstock

A changing climate and intense droughts significantly impacted the Indus Valley Civilization, a remarkable urban society that thrived approximately 4,000 years ago in present-day Pakistan and India.

This civilization established settlements along the Indus River and its tributaries, extending their reach beyond other prominent ancient cultures like those in Egypt and Mesopotamia. Known as the Harappan civilization, they constructed various cities, with Harappa being a notable hub housing around 35,000 residents.

While their writing system remains largely undeciphered, the Harappans excelled in water management, featuring extensive cisterns and a complex sewage system made of terracotta pipes and brick channels. Unfortunately, these advancements could not endure the prolonged hot and arid conditions over millennia.

“There were four significant droughts between the pre-Harappan and late Harappan periods,” says Vimal Mishra, a researcher at the Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar. “This led to ongoing migrations to regions with more reliable water sources.”

Prior studies indicated that a global drought 4,200 years ago weakened monsoon rains in the Indus Valley, contributing to the civilizations’ downfall. However, Mishra and his colleagues posit that the decline was a more gradual process.

Using three climate models, the researchers estimated rainfall patterns in the area, validating their conclusions with data from stalactites, stalagmites, and lake sediments.

The findings revealed that from 4,400 to 3,400 years ago, the Indus Valley Civilization experienced four prolonged droughts, each lasting at least 85 years, accompanied by a temperature increase of about 0.5°C.

Additional modeling suggested a drop in the Indus River’s water levels. It is believed that the Harappans honored the river and relied on its annual floods for irrigation of crops such as wheat and barley, congregating around waterways. Continued droughts ultimately forced them to abandon their cities and resettle in the foothills of the Himalayas and the Ganges plains.

Research indicates that warming and drying trends may have been initiated by natural climate cycles such as El Niño and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, along with feedback mechanisms including vegetation loss and dust pollution.

This study stands out for its innovative integration of modeling and proxy measurements; however, it advocates for future research to consider evapotranspiration (the transfer of water from land to the atmosphere), particularly significant in hot climates. According to Sebastian Breitenbach from Northumbria University, UK, the current pace of climate change outstrips that of the Harappans, necessitating that policymakers explore adaptive strategies, including improved water storage systems and groundwater conservation.

“These studies serve as a cautionary tale,” Breitenbach remarks, “providing insights into potential future scenarios.”

Cairo and Alexandria: The Cradle of Ancient Science in Egypt

Embark on an extraordinary voyage through Cairo and Alexandria, two of Egypt’s most legendary cities, where ancient history intertwines with contemporary allure.

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Without Whale Urine, Our Oceans Could Face Collapse: Here’s Why

What portion of the ocean is made up of whale urine? Contrary to popular belief, the salinity of the ocean is not due to whale pee. A single fin whale can produce up to 250 gallons of urine in just one day.

While the precise amount of urine contributed by cetaceans to the ocean remains unclear, marine biologists have recently highlighted the crucial role whale urine plays in sustaining a healthy marine ecosystem by redistributing significant amounts of nutrients.

This process is largely driven by their migration patterns. Baleen whales (which are filter feeders) typically undertake extensive migrations between warm and cold regions.

For instance, female humpback whales feed in the Gulf of Alaska and then travel thousands of miles to the Hawaiian Islands to give birth.

This is particularly important for newborn calves, as they require a warm and comfortable environment to thrive, supported by a thick layer of insulating blubber. Conversely, the most nutritious feeding grounds for whales are found in the cold, krill-laden waters of polar regions.

Whales can produce hundreds of gallons of urine daily – Image credit: Getty

When whales head to their breeding areas, they typically cease feeding and rely on stored fat for energy. Consequently, the nutrients they consumed in high-latitude regions are released as urine and feces.

This movement of nutrients is likened to a great whale conveyor belt.

Particularly noteworthy is the significance of urine on this conveyor belt; a 2025 study revealed that gray, humpback, and right whales collectively transport nearly 4,000 tons of nitrogen annually.

In regions around the Hawaiian Islands, migrating whales can effectively double the nutrient influx into shallow waters.

This nutrient flow is critical as it stimulates the growth of phytoplankton, injecting energy into the marine food web.

The impact of this process was even greater prior to commercial whaling, when the nutrient transport via the Great Whale Conveyor Belt was likely three times more than it is today.


This article addresses the inquiry (made by Lou Grant in Birmingham): “What portion of the ocean consists of whale pee?”

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Reverse Midas Touch: Starme Plan Promotes Collapse to Back Digital IDs | Labor

Kiel Starmer is seen as a manifestation of Prime Minister’s “Reverse Midas Touch,” with overall support for digital IDs plummeting following his announcement about implementation plans.

Net support for digital ID cards has dropped from 35% in early summer to -14% over recent weekends.

These findings indicate that the proposal is significantly affected by its association with the unpopular government. In June, 53% of surveyed voters expressed support for all British digital ID cards, while 19% were opposed.

The government aims to launch a nationwide digital identity scheme, citing it as a “big opportunity” for the UK to make illegal employment more challenging.

After the cross-star announcement, only 31% of those surveyed expressed support for the scheme, while 45% opposed it, with 32% stating they strongly opposed it. Over 2.6 million people have signed the petition against the introduction of IDs.

Proponents of digital identity schemes across the nation are dissatisfied with how the policy was presented and are doubtful about its future implementation.

Analysis of the Commons vote indicates that public discontent with the government is contributing to the decline in support. While only 20% of those who believe Starmer is doing a poor job favor digital IDs, 71% of those who view Starmer positively support them, with only 14% in opposition.

These statistics reflect the Prime Minister’s uphill battle to regain public trust in his policies and leadership. His personal approval rating has fallen to an all-time low, with recent studies identifying him as the least popular prime minister in history.

Recent polling by Ipsos reveals that 13% of voters are satisfied, while 79% express dissatisfaction, leading to a net rating of -66. This marks the lowest satisfaction recorded for a prime minister since 1977, worse than previous lows set in August 1994 during John Major’s tenure.

“Digital IDs lack popularity fundamentally. Earlier this summer, we observed it as a clear indicator of governmental instability,” remarked Luke Trill, Executive Director of More Common.

“If governments are to reshape support for digital identity, they must initiate clearer use cases. The danger is that potentially beneficial policies could become additional challenges for governments amid organized opposition.”

Starmer and former adviser to Tony Blair, Peter Hyman, claimed the plan is “dead in the water” within six months, as ministers failed to present a persuasive case during an event at the Labour Party Conference in Liverpool.

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Hyman indicated that the scheme’s opposition finds itself “on the back foot,” urging Downing Street to engage social media influencers to “address objections” and counter rising conspiracy theories threatening the initiative’s viability.

The minister stated that digital ID cards would be mandatory for individuals wishing to prove their right to live and work in the UK. The government is particularly concerned about the ease of accessing illegal jobs within the UK’s shadow economy, a contributing factor encouraging perilous travel across the channel.

Photo IDs would be stored on smartphones, similar to a digital bank card, and would contain details such as the owner’s name, residency status, date of birth, and nationality. They do not grant access to healthcare or welfare benefits.

According to a senior minister, ID cards will be implemented prior to the next election, initially aimed at verifying individuals’ rights to work.

“If having an ID card helps eliminate fraudulent activities within the system, this was always a straightforward aim,” stated Interior Secretary Shabana Mahmoud at a fringe event. As conservatives deem it a “witness,” the plan continues to face resistance from British reformists.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Crypto Mogul Do Kwon Admits Guilt in Fraud Linked to $400 Billion Market Collapse

Do Kwon, the South Korean entrepreneur behind two cryptocurrencies that were responsible for an estimated $400 billion loss in 2022 and caused significant market turbulence, pleaded guilty to two counts of fraud and wire fraud in a US court on Tuesday.

At 33 years old, Kwon co-founded Terraform Labs in Singapore and was the creator of the Terrausd and Luna currencies. He appeared in a federal court hearing in New York, having initially pleaded not guilty in January to nine charges, which include securities fraud, wire fraud, merchandise fraud, and conspiracy to commit money laundering.

Kwon was accused of deceiving investors about Terrausd in 2021—a Stablecoin intended to maintain a value equivalent to one US dollar—leading him to plead guilty to two counts under a plea agreement with Manhattan prosecutors.

He could face a maximum of 25 years in prison when Judge Engelmeyer sentences him on December 11. However, prosecutor Kimberly Ravener noted that Kwon has agreed to a prison term of no more than 12 years if he takes responsibility for his actions. He has been in custody since his extradition from Montenegro late last year.

Kwon is among several cryptocurrency executives facing federal charges after the 2022 downturn in digital token prices led to the collapse of numerous businesses. Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX—the largest crypto exchange in the US—was sentenced to 25 years in prison in 2024.


Prosecutors allege that when Terrausd dipped below $1 in May 2021, Kwon misled investors, claiming that the “Terra Protocol,” a computer algorithm, had restored the coin’s value. Instead, he allegedly arranged for the covert purchase of millions of dollars in tokens to artificially inflate the price through high-frequency trading companies.

These false representations reportedly misled retail and institutional investors, enticing them to invest in Terraform products and escalate the value of Luna.

During the court proceedings, Kwon expressed remorse for his actions.

“I made misleading statements about why it regained its value without disclosing the involvement of the trading company in restoring that PEG,” Kwon stated. “What I did was wrong.”

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Kwon has also agreed to pay $80 million in civil penalties in 2024 and is prohibited from engaging in crypto trading as part of a $4.555 billion settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Additionally, he faces charges in South Korea. As part of his plea agreement, prosecutors indicated they would not oppose his potential transfer to serve his sentence overseas after completing his time in the US, Ravener stated.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Giant Glacier Collapse Triggers Landslides, Engulfs Swiss Villages

The Birch Glacier triggered an avalanche of ice, snow, water, and rocks as its edge collapsed.

Jean-Christophe Bott/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Many glaciers in the Swiss Alps separated from the mountains, resulting in debris, mud, and ice crashing down onto the village of Blatten.

Authorities had been warning for weeks about the potential collapse of the Birch Glacier due to visible cracks in the ice. Earlier this month, both residents and livestock were evacuated from Bratten, a village situated in the valley beneath the glacier, which houses around 300 individuals.

Webcams and drone footage captured on the 28th show massive clouds of debris swirling through the Alpine valley as the glacier gives way, with immense flows of mud and rock blanketing the hillside and much of the village.

A press briefing in a nearby settlement on May 28th reported one person missing, though there were no immediate casualties. Much of Bratten is now covered beneath debris. The glacial collapse also registered as a 3.1 magnitude earthquake on the Richter scale, according to seismic data.

Images from the location indicate that, in addition to the village, vast expanses of forest have been devastated, which has dammed the nearby Lonza River, heightening the risk of floods in the area.

“Nature is more powerful than humanity. Those living in the mountains understand this. However, today we witnessed an exceptional event. It’s deeply disturbing to see the aftermath,” reported a Swiss news outlet.

As global temperatures rise, Alpine glaciers are becoming increasingly unstable. Official statistics show that in Switzerland, glaciers lost 10% of their volume between 2022 and 2023.

The melting of glaciers leads to the collapse of rocks and ice, resulting in debris flows into the valleys below. Research indicates that climate change is contributing to an increase in small rockfalls and landslides in the Alps.

However, further investigation is necessary to understand the specific events that transpired in Blatten, as stated by Mylène Jacquemart from ETH Zurich, who will assess the extent of the glacier failures and the underlying reasons. “Clearly, incidents similar to Bratten are rare. This is a complicated sequence of processes,” she elaborated.

Jack Mart emphasized the challenge of detecting changes in the frequency and severity of significant landslides.

“The alterations induced by climate change in the alpine regions (such as increased melting, reduced snow cover, warmer temperatures, and more rain than snow) negatively affect rock stability,” she noted. “Yet, could this series of events have occurred without climate change? It’s possible. A crucial question in hazard management is whether there is a noticeable rise in the frequency of certain events. Are occurrences that previously happened every decade now becoming more frequent?

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Elon Musk’s Acquisition Causes X’s UK Interests to Collapse the Following Year

The company acknowledges that X’s revenue and profits plummeted in the UK when Elon Musk took over the social media platform.

A decrease in ad spending due to concerns about “brand safety and/or content moderation” was cited as a key reason, according to recent accounts submitted.

Twitter UK Ltd also faced significant scrutiny for missing its account filing deadline last month, as noted in recent company filings. It finally filed its complete account in 2023, the year it was rebranded as X after Musk’s acquisition.

“The company continues to develop brand safety tools, invest in platform safety and content moderation, and implement corrective measures to educate advertisers on these initiatives,” stated the company.

Overall revenue amounted to £69.1 million, down 66.3% year-on-year from £205.3 million in 2022. Profit for 2023 dropped to £1.2 million from £5.6 million the previous year, with pre-tax profit decreasing by 74% to £2.25 million. This was described as a “significant decline in the company’s performance.”

The acquisition of masks also led to layoffs, with Musk revealing that only 1,500 of the approximately 8,000 Twitter employees were retained that year.

In the UK, the number of employees at the company decreased from 399 in the previous year to 114, including 173 cuts in the “research and development” sector.

Despite these challenges, X’s value was recently estimated at $44 billion by Musk, and his X.AI artificial intelligence company acquired the business for $33 billion last month.

Farhad Divecha, CEO of Accuracast and founder of unyte.ai, an expert in digital advertising, expressed that the revealed numbers did not come as a surprise.

“The warning signs were evident all along,” he remarked. “If anything, there may now be an opportunity for X to recuperate advertiser revenues, particularly if Musk and his team collaborate to support advertisers and implement brand safety protocols, initially focusing on the UK and Europe.”

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X was contacted for comments, with KinFaiCheung listed as the director who approved the accounts. Cheung and Adeeb Sahar are listed as company directors, while Musk is identified as having a “key management” role at Company House.

Musk established a new company in the UK late last year amid speculation that he intends to make a substantial donation to Nigel Farage’s Reform British Party.

The new company, X.ai London, was founded on December 12th and is involved in “business and domestic software development,” operating from the same London office as X.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Rome’s Collapse Linked to Mini Ice Age Triggered by Ancient Geological Event

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Iceberg calving from a Greenland glacier can carry rocks to distant coasts

Professor Ross Mitchell

The rocks transported by icebergs from Greenland to Iceland add to evidence that the European climate became much colder for a century or two in 540 AD.

This cold season in the Northern Hemisphere has been shown previously by research on tree rings and sediment cores, but is linked to many historical events around the world, from the collapse of the northern WEI dynasty in China to the decline of the city of Teotihuacan, Central America. The Justinian plague that affected the Eastern Roman Empire after the collapse of the Western Roman Empire in 476 may also have been caused in part by cold weather.

Christopher Spencer Queen’s University in Kingston, Canada and his colleagues decided to explore Iceland’s west coast beaches, as they showed it was a light colour, rather than the basalt black of almost every other beach in Iceland.

Its bright colour turned out to be due to the presence of many shells, but while walking through the area, Spencer spotted a cobblestone-sized granite stone. It was immediately clear to him that these rocks were not from Iceland. “It’s a bit embarrassing how easy it is to make a discovery,” he says.

Sure enough, analysis of the rocks confirmed that they came from various parts of Greenland. Greenland is the closest point, about 300 km from Iceland. So, Spencer must have been carried by icebergs spotted and washed away on the beach from Greenland’s glacier.

The beach formations where Greenland rocks reside were previously dated from AD 500 to AD 700, says Spencer. Greenland icebergs can still reach this area, but Greenland Rock has not been found in other layers of the beach.

An ancient rock collection analyzed in the study was traced to Greenland

Dr. Christopher Spencer

Therefore, this finding indicates that numerous Greenlandic Icebergs were washed away at this beach during the period when this layer was formed. This suggests that because of the cold conditions, Greenland’s glaciers grew larger during this period, hiding more icebergs, says Spencer.

This is neatly linked to evidence of cold seasons, sometimes known as the late antique red ice age. The cause of this event is unknown. Some people think it was caused by volcanoes, while others think it was caused by a surprising piece of Earth from a comet. Spencer believes that the solar heat is simply dependent on changes in the orbit that reaches Earth.

The extent to which climate contributed to events such as the collapse of Rome remains debated, but there is growing evidence that climate change has shaped the fate of many civilizations.

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Reports show that an unprecedented failure led to the collapse of a world-famous radio telescope in Puerto Rico.

Four years after the radio telescope at Puerto Rico’s Arecibo Observatory collapsed. Report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine sheds light on the unprecedented failures that led to its destruction.

A steel cable supporting the telescope’s 900-ton receiver platform came loose after a zinc-filled socket built to support it failed, according to a report released Oct. 25. That’s what it means.

The report said the failure was caused by excessive “zinc creep,” a phenomenon in which the metal used to protect the socket from corrosion and rust deforms over time and loses its grip.

The zinc gradually lost its hold on the cable suspending the telescope’s main platform above the reflector dish. This caused multiple cables to be pulled from their sockets, ultimately causing the platform to crash into a reflector more than 400 feet below, according to the report.

Roger L. McCarthy, chairman of the committee for the analysis of the causes of failure and collapse of Arecibo’s 305-meter telescope, said, “This type of failure has been the most common occurrence in more than a century, when zinc spelter sockets have been widely and successfully used. This has never been reported before.” The observatory wrote in its report:

The committee that prepared the report said there was insufficient data to definitively prove the exact cause of the acceleration of “zinc creep.” The only hypothesis the committee was able to develop based on the data was that low current electroplastic effects were responsible. In other words, the constant current flowing through the socket could have strengthened the plastic behavior of the metallic zinc and, as a result, weakened its grip.

The committee reviewed an array of documents commissioned by the University of Central Florida and the National Science Foundation, the federal agency that owns the observatory, including a forensic investigation, structural analysis, engineering plans, inspection reports, photographs, and repair proposals. Reach that conclusion. They also gathered information from Arecibo Observatory employees, other “related research” sources, and the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. I mentioned this in a media advisory last month..

The commission also issued a series of recommendations in its report. These include making the remaining sockets and cable sections of the radio telescope available for further research and increasing careful monitoring of aging research facilities to detect deterioration and potential new failure modes. Included.

The telescope was used to track asteroids as they headed toward Earth, conduct research that led to Nobel Prizes, and determine whether planets were potentially habitable. It also functions as a training venue for graduate students, and is visited by approximately 90,000 people annually.

The telescope was built in the 1960s with funding from the Department of Defense during the development of ballistic missile defense. In its 57 years of operation, it has withstood hurricanes, tropical humidity, and a recent series of earthquakes.

The observatory began to collapse in August 2020 when an auxiliary cable snapped, damaging the telescope’s antenna and the receiver platform suspended above it, according to the National Science Foundation. After several other cable failures, the federal agency decided to begin a plan to decommission the telescope in November 2020.

This transition did little to stop the telescope’s complete collapse on December 1, 2020.

In 2022, the National Science Foundation says: Puerto Rico’s famous radio telescope won’t be rebuilt. Instead, it called for a $5 million education center to be established in its place to promote programs and partnerships related to science, technology, engineering and mathematics.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

Vital Atlantic currents at risk of collapse, warn scientists

Overview

A recent report has highlighted the concerning state of Earth’s snow and ice, indicating that various key climate tipping points are more likely to be reached than previously thought. These include significant ice melt leading to severe sea level rise and disruptions to crucial ocean currents controlling the Atlantic heat cycle.

The report reveals alarming statistics such as Venezuela losing its last glacier this year, Greenland’s ice sheet losing an average of 30 million tons of ice per hour, and the impending collapse of Thwaites Glacier, also known as the “terminal glacier.” This collapse could potentially result in the rapid disappearance of Antarctic ice.

Compiled by over 50 leading snow and ice scientists as part of the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative, the report summarizes the conditions for 2024, highlighting the disastrous impact of global warming on the planet’s frozen regions.

Of particular concern is the potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which could lead to drastic changes in weather patterns, such as rapid cooling in the North Atlantic and warming in the Southern Hemisphere.

Additionally, the report underscores the rising consensus among scientists that these climate tipping points are now more likely to be surpassed, with the window for mitigating actions rapidly narrowing.

The report’s release coincided with the United Nations’ COP29 climate change conference in Azerbaijan, where global leaders gathered to address pressing environmental concerns. Despite some progress, particularly in carbon credit trading, the report emphasizes that current climate policies are inadequate to meet global climate goals.

While the scientific community continues to sound the alarm about the escalating climate crisis, there are growing fears that world leaders are failing to grasp the gravity of the situation. Urgent action is needed to address the imminent threats posed by melting ice, collapsing glaciers, and disruptions in vital ocean currents.

In conclusion, the report serves as a stark reminder of the urgent need for decisive action to combat climate change before irreversible consequences unfold.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

The Impending Collapse of Atlantic Currents: The Impact on our Planet

The frozen River Thames is being hit by cold winds, the Mersey docks are blocked by ice floes, and crops are failing in the UK. Meanwhile, rising sea levels are flooding the east coast of the United States, and the Amazon ecosystem is experiencing disruptions due to changing seasons. The world has undergone significant changes. What has caused this?

These events may seem like scenes from a disaster movie, but a recent scientific study focusing on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) warns that these scenarios could become a reality as early as 2050. Learn more.


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What is AMOC, why is it vital, and what changes can we expect? Will disruptions lead to catastrophic events, and how can we address the situation?

The Importance of AMOC and Expected Changes

The AMOC, also known as the “Great Ocean Conveyor,” is a vast ocean current system that includes the Gulf Stream. It transports warm, salty water from the tropics northward into the North Atlantic Ocean. As this water cools and becomes denser, it sinks, flows back southward at depth, and eventually rises to the surface, creating a continuous circulation loop.

This circulation system moves significant amounts of heat around the Atlantic Ocean, equivalent to boiling approximately 100 billion kettles. The AMOC plays a crucial role in distributing heat input to the Northern Hemisphere and affects climate zones worldwide. Any weakening of the AMOC could lead to shifts in global climate patterns, impacting various regions.

Changes in wind patterns can also influence AMOC. Stronger winds during ice ages bolstered parts of the Gulf Stream, while in a warmer future world, wind effects might weaken the AMOC.

Evidences of AMOC Changes

Direct measurements of AMOC strength started in 2004 using the RAPID array across the Atlantic Ocean. Observations indicate a 10% decline in intensity over nearly two decades, but year-to-year variations pose challenges in determining a clear long-term trend.

Past indirect measures, such as cooling trends in southern Greenland, suggest a weakening AMOC. Salt accumulation in the South Atlantic further supports the notion of reduced heat and salt transport due to system weakening.

By studying marine sediment cores and ancient shells, paleoclimatologists have discovered that the current AMOC weakening is unparalleled in the last 1,600 years, indicating a potential 15% decline in the system’s strength.

Future Outlook for AMOC

Climate models predict a 30-50% weakening of AMOC by the end of the century if greenhouse gas emissions continue. This could result in altered weather patterns, increased extreme events, and sea level rise along certain coastlines.

A small increase in global temperatures might trigger a swift shutdown of the AMOC, leading to severe climate impacts. Understanding the potential collapse mechanisms, such as “salt feedback,” highlights the need for immediate climate action to prevent such scenarios.

Managing AMOC Risk

To mitigate the risks associated with AMOC collapse, we must urgently reduce greenhouse gas emissions, enhance climate resilience, and prepare for potential disruptions in food and water supplies. Addressing the root cause of global warming and implementing sustainable practices are crucial in safeguarding the stability of the Earth’s climate system.

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Source: www.sciencefocus.com

Theoretical astrophysicists debate the generation of gravitational waves during warp drive collapse

The basic idea of ​​a warp drive is that rather than directly exceeding the speed of light in a local frame of reference, a “warp bubble” contracts space-time in front of it and expands it behind it, allowing travel over distances faster than the speed of light as measured by a distant observer.

Craft othersWe propose a formalism for the dynamical study of warp drive spacetime and generate the first fully consistent numerical relativistic waveforms for the collapse of a warp drive bubble.

Although warp drive has its origins in science fiction novels, according to Miguel Alcubierre, an astrophysicist at the University of Wales, warp drive is explained in detail in the general theory of relativity. Be the first to propose A space-time metric that supports faster-than-light travel.

Real-world implementation has many practical barriers, such as the need for a special type of material that has negative energy, but computationally, given an equation of state describing the material, it is possible to simulate changes over time.

In a new study, theoretical astrophysicists investigated the signatures that could result from a “containment failure” of a warp drive.

“Warp drives are purely theoretical, but they are clearly described in Einstein's general theory of relativity, and numerical simulations allow us to explore the effects of warp drives on space-time in the form of gravitational waves,” said Dr Katie Clough, researcher at Queen Mary, University of London.

“The results are fascinating: the warp drive collapse produces a unique gravitational wave burst — a ripple in space-time that can be detected by gravitational wave detectors that typically target merging black holes and neutron stars.”

“Unlike chirp signals from merging objects, this signal is a short, high-frequency burst that would be undetectable by current detectors.”

“But there may be higher frequency devices in the future, and although the money hasn't been put into those devices yet, the technology exists to build them.”

“This raises the possibility that we could use these signals to look for evidence of warp drive technology, even if we can't build it ourselves.”

“In our study, the initial shape of spacetime is the warp bubble described by Alcubierre,” said Dr Sebastian Kahn, a researcher at Cardiff University.

“Although we demonstrate that an observable signal could, in principle, be found by future detectors, the speculative nature of this work is not sufficient to drive instrument development.”

The authors also take a detailed look at the energy dynamics of a collapsing warp drive.

In this process, waves of negative energy matter are released, followed by alternating waves of positive and negative energy.

This complex dance results in a net increase in energy throughout the system and, in principle, could provide another signature of collapse if the emission waves interacted with ordinary matter.

“This is a reminder that theoretical ideas can inspire us to explore the universe in new ways,” Dr Clough said.

“I'm skeptical that we'll see anything, but I think it'll be interesting enough to be worth a look.”

“For me, the most important aspect of this work is the novelty of accurately modelling the dynamics of negative energy space-time and the possibility that the technique can be extended to physical situations that could help us better understand the evolution and origin of the universe or processes at the centre of black holes,” said Professor Tim Dietrich of the University of Potsdam.

“While warp speed may still be a long way away, this research is already pushing the boundaries of our understanding of extra-dimensional space-time and gravitational waves.”

“We're going to try different models of warp drive to see how that changes the signal.”

Team paper Published online Open Astrophysics Journal.

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Katie Clough othersThe year is 2024. A phenomenon no one has seen before: gravitational waves caused by warp drive collapse. Open Astrophysics Journal 7;doi:10.33232/001c.121868

Source: www.sci.news

Other dams in critical condition come under scrutiny following Minnesota dam collapse.

The partial dam failure occurred after three days of heavy rainfall that caused the Minnesota River to reach its third-highest flood level since at least 1881. Brennan Dettman, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities, Minnesota, provided this information.

In the Mankato area, where the dam is situated, 7 to 8 inches of rain fell over the span of three days. Based on analysis by Kenny Blumenfeld, Senior Climatologist at the Minnesota Climate Division, the situation was dire. Blumenfeld’s analysis indicated that this level of heavy rain occurs approximately 0.5 to 2 percent of the time each year in southern Minnesota.

Bill McCormick, who headed Colorado’s dam safety program from 2011 to 2021, highlighted how extreme rainfall events are putting dams across the country under strain. “We are experiencing increasingly severe storms that are testing our aging infrastructure. Dams and spillways that previously didn’t face many storms annually are now encountering more frequent storms,” he noted. “These aging systems are facing heightened challenges.”

McCormick also pointed out that development in residential areas near dams has increased the risk factors, as people now live in regions previously designated for farmland. Dams constructed to protect agricultural areas are now safeguarding residential neighborhoods.

Hiba Baroud, an assistant professor of civil and environmental engineering at Vanderbilt University, emphasized the need for lawmakers to take proactive measures in strengthening dam infrastructure and prioritizing repairs following incidents like the partial failure of the Rapidan Dam. “To prevent such occurrences, it is essential to proactively assess all dams in the U.S., prepare for potential scenarios, and prioritize necessary repairs or upgrades,” she urged. “Simply reacting to major events as wake-up calls concerning specific dams is not sufficient.”

Source: www.nbcnews.com

There was no legendary social collapse on Easter Island

The people of Easter Island built hundreds of monolithic statues called Moai.

Stephanie Morcinek via Unsplash

The widely held claim that the ancient people of Easter Island experienced a social collapse due to overexploitation of natural resources is being called into fresh doubt: analysis of historical agricultural practices suggests that a small, stable population lived sustainably for centuries before Europeans arrived.

Famous for its towering stone statues, Easter Island (also known as Rapa Nui) in the Pacific Ocean is thought to have been inhabited by Polynesians as early as A.D. 1200. At the time, the island’s 164 square kilometers were covered in palm forests, but a combination of rats and over-logging soon destroyed them.

According to a narrative popularized by historian Jared Diamond, unsustainable resource use led to a rapid population growth and collapse before Europeans arrived in 1722.

The islanders made their living primarily from rock gardening, a type of agriculture common in areas with poor soil and harsh climates, by scattering stones throughout the fields to create micro-habitats and windbreaks, conserve moisture, and provide important minerals.

Previous studies have suggested that the rock gardens covered 21 square kilometers of land on Rapa Nui and supported a population of up to 16,000 people.

To learn more, Carl Lipo Researchers from Binghamton University in New York combined satellite imagery and machine learning models trained on ground surveys to generate estimates of rock gardening areas across the island.

They found that the largest rock gardens measured just 0.76 square kilometers. The researchers estimate that such a system could not have supported more than 4,000 people, roughly the estimated population at the time Europeans arrived. In other words, the population was remarkably stable, the team argues.

Robert DiNapoli, a researcher at Binghamton University in New York, inspects the rock garden.

Carl Lipo

Lipo says those who continue to use Easter Island as a case study of degradation and collapse need to see the empirical evidence: “The results we produce suggest that the island was never… [had] “Huge populations overconsumed resources,” he says, “and overall, the archaeological record shows no evidence of population collapse before European arrival.”

Instead, Lipo says, the increasingly popular theory is that the islanders modified their environment to enable sustainable livelihoods for generations: “Their small populations and scattered, low-density settlement patterns enabled them to reliably produce enough food for over 500 years before Europeans arrived.”

Dale F. Simpson The University of Illinois researchers say further research is needed to assess whether the precision and accuracy of the model calculations used in the study match the archaeological record.

“Overall, this is [study] Rapa Nui [people] “Rapa Nui is often portrayed as a culture that collapsed due to sociopolitical competition, overexploitation of ecosystems, and megalithic overproduction, but the argument is better served by recognizing Rapa Nui as a Polynesian island culture of adaptation and survival that thrived for almost a millennium,” Simpson said.

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Source: www.newscientist.com

Ex-Crypto Director Restricted from Australia Following Collapse of Blockchain Global and Debt of $58 Million

A former director of Blockchain Global, an Australian cryptocurrency company that went bankrupt and owed creditors $58 million, has been banned from leaving the country.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission secured an interim travel ban in the Federal Court on February 20, claiming director Liang “Alan” Guo was a flight risk.

Mr. Guo, a Chinese national, was ordered to hand over his passport to the court.

The hearing was held in Guo’s absence, so he did not have an opportunity to respond immediately to the verdict.

Mr Guo, along with fellow directors Sam Lee and Ryan Hsu, were referred to ASIC by the liquidator for alleged breaches of company law. ASIC is investigating the allegations.

Mr Lee and Mr Xu were also involved in a cryptocurrency investment scheme known as HyperVerse, which was the subject of a Guardian Australia investigation and which defrauded investors around the world of US$1.89 billion. It is said that Guo is not believed to be involved in the HyperVerse project.


Mr Lee, who currently lives in Dubai, is facing charges in the US for his involvement in the Hyperverse scheme, which the US Securities and Exchange Commission has described as a “pyramid scheme and pyramid scheme”. He has not responded to the charges.

In a Federal Court judgment released on Wednesday, Mr Justice Button said the charges against Mr Guo were “very serious” and agreed to ban him from leaving Australia until August 20.

These included allegations of transferring investor funds for personal gain.

“ASIC also revealed that while Mr. Guo was a director, he transferred $2.6 million from the bank account where investor funds were held, with some of the money being applied to his personal mortgage account and personal bank account. “It was also pointed out,” the judgment said.

“ASIC also revealed that Mr. Guo held 23.11 Bitcoins, said to be worth approximately $1.8 million, owned by Blockchain Global and transferred them to a virtual currency wallet controlled by Mr. Guo on December 8, 2019. He also mentioned that he had done so.”

ASIC said Mr Guo was “the only person left in Australia closely involved in Blockchain Global’s operations” given that Blockchain Global’s other directors left Australia shortly after the bankruptcy. He claimed that there was.

“ASIC anticipates that the interviews and interrogations of Mr. Guo will be critical to the progress of the investigation, and as a result, we anticipate that brief evidence may be forwarded to the Director of Federal Public Prosecutions.'' the judgment stated.

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According to the ruling, ASIC expects it will take 12 months to investigate and submit a summary of the evidence to the DPP.

Among his reasons, Mr Button commented on apparent delays in the investigation into ASIC, which was launched on January 16 following Guardian Australia’s investigation into HyperVerse.

“It is not clear why an investigation was initiated when Blockchain Global failed. Nevertheless, the investigation, although in its early stages, is progressing steadily.”

ASIC said in a statement that it applied for the travel restriction order “out of concern that Mr. Guo may leave the country while the investigation continues.”

“As the hearing took place in Mr. Guo’s absence, Mr. Guo has not yet had the opportunity to respond to ASIC’s application or the basis on which ASIC asserts that the order is necessary.”

Mr Guo has so far not responded to Guardian Australia’s questions about the allegations against him in the liquidator’s report submitted to ASIC.

He has been asked to comment on the travel ban.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Scientists warn that Amazon’s crucial water cycle is on the brink of collapse

A study published Wednesday in the journal Nature warns that wildfires, deforestation, and global warming could permanently disrupt the water cycle in parts of the Amazon rainforest if action is not taken in the coming decades. The study suggests that between 10% and 47% of the landscape is at risk of transitioning away from tropical rainforest by 2050 if rates of warming and deforestation are not dramatically reduced.

Lead author of the study, Bernardo Flores, a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Santa Catarina in Florianópolis, Brazil, stated that “So many stressors are intensifying, including climate stressors and land-use stressors, that when combined will ultimately cause water stress in forests. We could reach a point where forests can no longer survive.”

The Amazon contains about 10% of the world’s terrestrial biodiversity and serves as a vital carbon sink. Exceeding the limits of rainforests could accelerate climate change and have dire consequences for communities, including indigenous peoples, who depend on rainforests. Flores said he is optimistic that the changes outlined in the study are already occurring, but they could slow or even stop.

The study focuses on overlapping stressors on the Amazon, including rising temperatures, extreme drought, deforestation, and fires. Ernest Alvarado, an associate professor at the University of Washington’s School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, who was not involved in the study, emphasized the importance of maintaining the Amazon’s water cycle, stating, “If you lose your balance, it’s a big problem.”

Reducing the amount of water-absorbing forests due to deforestation, wildfires, drought, and climate change reduces the amount of water available to the atmosphere from plants and reduces the amount of rain that sustains the landscape. Approximately 15% of the Amazon has already been lost, according to Flores.

Source: www.nbcnews.com

The Possible Collapse of AMOC: Simulations Highlight Real Danger of Stopping Atlantic Currents

Ocean currents flowing from the tropics to the North Atlantic have a major influence on Europe's climate.

jens carsten roseman

As the planet warms, is there a serious risk that the Atlantic Current that warms Europe will slow down and stop? Yes, according to the most detailed computer simulation ever performed. The likelihood of this scenario remains highly uncertain.

“We have demonstrated that it is indeed possible with our current setup,” he says. René van Westen At Utrecht University in the Netherlands.

Now, warm water, made more salty by evaporation, flows north from the tropics along the surface of the Atlantic Ocean, keeping Europe much warmer than it would otherwise be. When this water cools, it sinks because it becomes more salty and denser. It then returns to the tropics and flows along the ocean floor into the southern hemisphere.

This is known as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Studies of past climate suggest that the dramatic cooling episodes that have occurred around Europe over the past 100,000 years or so have been associated with so-called tipping points, when reverse currents slow down or stop completely, and small changes in may convert one system to another. state.

The cause is thought to be melting ice sheets. The influx of large amounts of fresh water into the North Atlantic reduces salinity, which in turn reduces surface water density and reduces the amount of water that sinks.

However, this has proven difficult to model. Most shutdown simulations require adding unrealistically large amounts of fresh water at once. Some also question whether this is a potential tipping point, since recent simulations using more advanced models have not shown any shutdowns.

Now, van Westen's team has run the most sophisticated simulation to date, which took a total of six months to run on the Dutch state-run supercomputer Sunellius. It was very expensive, he says.

Unlike previous simulations, the team added fresh water gradually rather than all at once. This created a positive feedback that amplified the effect. The decrease in salinity reduced the amount of water sinking, which reduced the amount of brine flowing north, further reducing salinity.

This eventually broke the overturning circulation, causing temperatures to rise in the Southern Hemisphere but plummet in Europe. For example, in this model, London would be 10°C (18°F) cooler on average, and Bergen, Norway would be 15°C (27°F) cooler on average. Other impacts include localized sea level rise in areas such as the East Coast of the United States.

Additionally, some of the changes seen in the model before the collapse are consistent with changes seen in the real Atlantic Ocean in recent decades.

But to cause this collapse, the researchers had to run the model for 2,500 years. And they needed to add huge amounts of fresh water. Although less than previous simulations, it is still about 80 times the amount that is currently flowing into the ocean from the melting Greenland ice sheet. “So it's absurd and not very realistic,” Van Westen said.

Furthermore, this simulation did not include global warming. The team now plans to rerun the simulation with that in mind.

“This is the most cutting-edge model in which such experiments have been performed,” he says. Peter Ditlefsen He is a co-author of a 2023 study predicting that the Atlantic overturning current could break up between 2025 and 2095, based on changes in sea surface temperatures.

The model suggests it will take large amounts of fresh water and centuries to stop the circulation from reversing, but why do we think climate models are underestimating the risk of nonlinear changes like the Atlantic tipping point? There are several, Ditlefsen said.

Climate models need to divide the world into large cubes to make their calculations workable, he says, and this has a smoothing effect. Additionally, the model has been calibrated based on how well it simulates the 20th century climate, although there was a linear relationship between greenhouse gas emissions and the resulting changes. may not be applicable in the future.

“We should expect the model to be less sensitive than the real world,” Ditlevsen says.

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Source: www.newscientist.com